Pyramid Bets | 29 June 2026 - 05 July 2026

[DarwizzyThaGoat]

MONDAY June 29 2026

Brazil vs Japan
Brazil to Win @1.75

good bounce back yesterday. we keep the same energy and stay with the numbers. canada needed every minute but eustaquio finally broke south africa down in stoppage time to send the canucks into the last 16, clean step on the ladder.

going with the stronger side here. brazil come into the round of 32 with serious attacking firepower, scoring 24 goals in their last ten matches at 2.4 per game. that is the kind of output that breaks down most defences eventually, especially at this stage.

their recent form is also lined up. brazil have won three of their last five including a 3-0 away victory, with a +13 goal difference at 1.3 per match across the run. that mix of attacking quality and consistency is exactly what you want backing the favourites in a knockout fixture.

japan have been organised but they will have to deal with a brazil side that simply has more depth and end product. with vinícius, raphinha and the rest of the attack ready to deliver and ancelotti having the squad clicking into knockout mode, the home win is the cleanest read. at 1.75 the price is nice for the favourites.

see y'all tomorrow for the next step.

 

[DarwizzyThaGoat]

TUESDAY June 30 2026

France vs Sweden
Jules Kounde to Commit 1+ Fouls @1.64

good bounce back yesterday. we keep the same energy and stay with the numbers. brazil needed every second but martinelli came up with the winner in the 96th to send the selecao through 2-1 over japan, casemiro had levelled with a powerful header in the second half.

going with a sharp value angle here. kounde has committed a foul in two of his three world cup matches so far, and the matchup gives him every chance to add another. sweden will look to attack the wide areas where france are weakest, and that means his direct opponent is going to get plenty of joy out wide.

gabriel gudmundsson is the player on that flank and his foul drawing record is serious. he has been fouled in each of his three world cup games, drawing 3+ fouls in two of them, and he averaged 1.91 fouls drawn per 90 across 31 starts in the 25/26 leeds campaign. that consistency is hard to ignore.

kounde himself averaged 0.92 fouls committed per 90 for barcelona last season and with gyokeres, elanga, isak and gudmundsson all capable in wide channels, he is going to be tested constantly. at 1.64 the price is nice for a market where he is as short as 1.25 with other books.

see y'all tomorrow for the next step.

 

[DarwizzyThaGoat]

WEDNESDAY July 1 2026

England vs DR Congo
Under 2.5 Goals @1.97

france cruised past sweden 3-0 last night with mbappé grabbing a brace and barcola adding the third, easy step for les bleus into the last 16. we keep the same energy and stay with the numbers.

going with the cagey angle here. england's matches have averaged just 2.4 total goals across their last ten, sitting just under the line. that is a really consistent pattern under tuchel who has the defence locked in even when the attack is misfiring, as the 0-0 with ghana showed.

dr congo have been low scoring too, averaging only 1.8 total goals per match in this campaign. their profile is built on being tough to break down rather than trading blows, and against england they will absolutely defend deep to try to force something late.

btts also lines up here. only 20 percent of england's games and 33 percent of dr congo's away fixtures produced btts, so the pattern of quiet games is well established on both sides. with two teams that play cautiously and knockout football usually pushing things tighter, under 2.5 at 1.97 is a smart spot for the ladder.

see y'all tomorrow for the next step.

 

[DarwizzyThaGoat]

THURSDAY July 2 2026

Spain vs Austria
Over 2.5 Goals @1.91

england needed some late kane magic yesterday, 2-1 over dr congo with two goals in the final 15 after cipenga had put congo ahead early. tough one for the under angle when the favourites turn it on late. we move on with the numbers.

going with the goals here. austria's games have averaged 3.5 total goals across their last ten matches, so their fixtures rarely stay quiet on the score board. they also came into this knockout tie with a 3-3 draw in recent memory, showing they get involved in wide open games.

spain's away numbers back the same angle. they average 3.0 total goals on the road, scoring 2.67 and conceding 0.33 per match away. their group stage attack was ruthless with the 4-0 over saudi arabia and they have yamal and oyarzabal in serious form.

austria had to survive a 96th minute equaliser against algeria to sneak through group j, which tells you their games can twist late. against a spain side this potent going forward and a defence that has yet to concede, the total should push through 2.5 comfortably. at 1.91 the over is a nice value spot for this step.

see y'all tomorrow for the next step.

 

[DarwizzyThaGoat]

FRIDAY July 3 2026

Argentina vs Cape Verde
Under 3.5 Goals @1.51

good bounce back yesterday. we keep the same energy and stay with the numbers. spain took care of austria 3-0 with oyarzabal grabbing a brace and porro getting his first international goal in between, clean step to open this stretch.

going with the cagey angle for the opener. argentina have conceded only two goals in their last ten matches at 0.2 per game, which is a serious defensive base under scaloni. that alone caps most of these knockout ties. cape verde bring even less offensive threat, with recent 0-0 and 2-2 away draws showing their profile on the road.

btts has also landed in only 20 percent of argentina's last ten matches, so their fixtures rarely open up. with the champions comfortable controlling the pace and cape verde likely to sit deep, four or more goals feels unlikely. at 1.51 under 3.5 is a smart step to open the ladder.

SATURDAY July 4 2026

Brazil vs Norway
BTTS Yes @1.65

going with the goals angle for the round of 16. brazil come into this on a three game winning streak with 3-0 over scotland and 2-1 wins over japan and others. they have won seven of their last ten with plenty of firepower up top and always create chances.

norway bring their own threat on the counter. they scored 12 goals in five away games in all competitions and their most dangerous player haaland has three of the last ten. nusa also scored in the round of 32 knockout tie, so the away side has multiple scoring routes.

brazil's recent games have been open with a 6-2, 3-1 and 2-1 in the mix, which tells you they concede goals even when they win. against a norway side that will absolutely go for it with the world watching, both ends should see action. at 1.65 btts yes is a nice price for two attacking sides.

SUNDAY July 6 2026

Mexico vs England
BTTS No @1.75

closing the ladder with the shutout angle. both sides have kept things really quiet in this tournament, with mexico posting 0 percent btts in their last ten away games and england matching that on the road. that is a really consistent pattern for a knockout matchup.

mexico have conceded just two goals in ten matches at 0.2 per game and picked up four clean sheets in their last five. england have three clean sheets in their last five with only five conceded across ten matches. two of the tightest defences in the tournament running into each other.

knockout football also pushes both managers to be cautious and pick the right moments. with these two defensive profiles and a game where a single goal will likely be enough, one side keeping a clean sheet is very live. at 1.75 btts no is a smart spot for the close of the ladder.

see y'all monday for the next step.