- Adelaide have lost 3 of their last 5 (D2, L3) and won 0 of their 3 A-League Women 2026/2027 games (D2, L1).
- Wellington have lost 3 of their last 5 (W1, D1, L3) and won 0 of their 3 A-League Women 2026/2027 matches so far (D1, L2).
- Adelaide have won 0 and drawn 1 of their 1 home league fixture this season, while Wellington have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their 1 away league fixture this campaign.
Structured Nix are the sharp edge of the blade
Adelaide United (W) are 7th in the A-League Women 2026/2027 table with 2 points from their opening 3 games, while Wellington Phoenix (W) are 8th with 1 point from their first 3 matches.
And the only thing for sure about this Friday's head-to-head match is that a draw is not a runner in the 3 way market because the Nix are chalked up as 2.02 favourites, while the Reds are 3.1 and the draw is 3.65.
Wellington have the better of this rivalry in the past, winning the last 2 meetings and 2 of their previous 3 visits to Adelaide - including a 2-0 away win in A-League Women 2025/2026 - so there is reason to be with them here at the prices.
Dry match in the Adelaide heat
Paul Temple has led the Nix since May 2023 and he has built his team on structure and work rate. The Nix's setup has a back-three and wing-backs that brings higher pressing intensity, fast flank transitions and a more proactive tempo. They will try and pin Adelaide back in this one and it should bring about a bit of a chess match where the Reds will look to counter. Adrian Stenta has guided Adelaide United (W) since August 2020, and the Reds are still trying to turn their rebuild into points. Adelaide's 4-3-3 leans on wide pace, quick breaks and aerial outlets, while being compact in their mid-block when out of possession.
Nix can nick it in the Adelaide outback
The numbers do not point to a easy win for Wellington and the only reason we are backing them is because they have a much better recent record in this fixture and are available at a slightly better price than their opponents.
A home win might be more likely if Adelaide had been scoring on their own patch, but they haven't managed to find the net in their 1 home game so far.
Wellington have not scored any away goals, but their Makala Woods is their chief danger woman with 4 of their 4 goals coming from her boot across the last 5 games.
Both teams to score - No at 2.15 looks a sharp alternative in this spot if this turns into a cagey affair, as both teams have been involved in some dour contests so far.
