- Avondale FC won the reverse fixture 3-1 three months ago.
- Melbourne City II have been harder to beat in their most recent home spell, with 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats in 9 overall at AAMI Park.
- Avondale FC have lost their last two away matches.
City II can hold the ball and make it tricky
These two sides are pretty evenly matched in terms of league position, but Avondale FC are the more likely winner on the night based on recent form and current odds (1.64), while Melbourne City II come in at 4.05 and the draw at 4.1.
Fourth-placed Avondale have amassed 35 points from their 21 fixtures to date, while 7th placed Melbourne City II have 30 points from 20.
These teams play in different ways, so Saturday's NPL Victoria 2026 clash could be a chess match. Melbourne City II play a possession-first style based on short passing, a rotating midfield and controlled build-up from the back, while Avondale look to get at defenders, make runs in behind and get their focal striker onto the ball in behind.
The last fixture, which Avondale won 3-1 at home, will give the visitors the mental edge going into this one, but City II are well accustomed to this set up at home so it should be a much more closely run match.
Avondale to nick it, but goals likely
City II's recent form is mixed with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5.
The Sky Blues drew 2-2 at home to Heidelberg United before losing 1-0 at Caroline Springs George Cross last time out, while Avondale's recent results have been mixed to poor, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5.
On the road in NPL Victoria 2026, Avondale have been hit and miss with 4 wins and 6 losses from 10 trips and an average of 1.70 goals conceded per-game, while City II have been much tougher to beat at AAMI Park, where they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 9 matches.
The market certainly thinks goals are the way to go here, with Over 2.5 at 1.36 and Both Teams To Score Yes at 1.41, but we feel an away edge and a likely Avondale win is worth a punt in the result market.
City II have the better form, but have been poor at converting their good play into wins recently and Avondale can nick it in what should be a lively game. Both sides can land a punch and we're going for a 2-1 away win.
