- Modbury Jets have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their 8 home matches in South Australia State League 1 2026.
- Adelaide Olympic have won 3 of their last 5 matches, losing the other 2 (2-1 at Eastern United FC).
- Modbury Jets have scored 2.38 and conceded 0.75 goals per match on average at home in South Australia State League 1 2026.
Expect tight game in Modbury
Modbury Jets (5th, 24pts from 13 games) are just behind Adelaide Olympic (2nd, 28pts from 15 games) in the South Australia State League 1 2026 table, so the visitors arrive with the better record in this early-season derby.
Modbury Jets have been unconvincing in their last 5 (W1, D1, L3), while Adelaide Olympic have fared better in the same period (W3, L2), but their most recent result was a solid 2-0 home win over The Cove following a narrow 2-1 defeat away to Eastern United FC.
The head-to-head suggests this will be a tight game too with Modbury having won 1 and drawn 1 of the 2 games against Olympic since the start of South Australia State League 1 2026, so the hosts have already beaten Adelaide.
The market makes Modbury Jets 1.68 favourites for this one with Olympic set at 3.98 and the draw at 3.92.
Adelaide Olympic are the better placed of the two sides, but the value for this clash looks to be in the goals market where Over 2.5 is 1.47 and Both Teams To Score is 1.5, which suits a close, open derby.
The hosts have the advantage of home ground advantage, however, and they have lost a bit of their early-season edge here with just 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 4 home matches.
Adelaide Olympic have won 3 and lost 4 away from home in South Australia State League 1 2026, but they score an average of 1.86 goals per away game, so they are not lacking potency on the road.
Modbury Jets usually line up in a compact 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 formation and like to play a more deliberate, territorial game of football by controlling the ball through the midfield and overloading the wide areas.
Adelaide Olympic, by contrast, are looking more like a structured, development squad under Nick Bouzalas with progressive possession and a selective pressing game.
Our view is that Olympic's best route to a win in this match will be through their away scoring edge, but Modbury's home dominance is hard to ignore and the odds are against a runaway win for either side.
So we're taking the home side to edge this one, but not without a tussle, and Modbury may have to settle for yet another draw if Olympic's structure holds firm in the second half.
