- In their last 5, North Geelong Warriors have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1.
- Melbourne Victory II have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 across their last 5.
- At home in NPL Victoria 2 2026, North Geelong are undefeated in 3 (W2, D1) while Melbourne Victory II have a mixed record in their last 4 (W1, D1, L2).
Warriors look to upset the odds
In a game that pits possession football against direct football, block against transition, this contest looks set to be a battle of style.
North Geelong are a team that sets up a compact mid-to-low block, uses direct long balls and looks to hurt teams with their set piece quality.
Melbourne Victory II are a possession-first team, with structure, intensity and quick rotation in their build-up play. They look to control the ball, but have been inconsistent, especially on the road, where they've gone 3-2-6 across 11 away fixtures in NPL Victoria 2 2026, conceding 24 times.
Visitors are favourites, but Warriors will have a say
In NPL Victoria 2 2026, North Geelong sit 9th with 28 points from 19 games, whilst Melbourne Victory II are fifth with 31 points from 20, so the visitors are marginally the more likely to finish higher.
However, Melbourne Victory II are favourites for this game at 1.97, while North Geelong are 2.86 and the draw is 4.1, which is an odd way around given the head-to-head, which went the favour of Melbourne Victory II 3 months ago.
North strong at home
They'll be looking to repeat that success here, but the visitors have looked shaky lately, with their form sheet reading 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats across their last 5.
The most recent of those two games has been a bit of a wobble, as they drew 1-1 at home to bottom side Port Melbourne Sharks SC and lost 3-1 to Eltham Redbacks away.
North Geelong have been strong at home, posting a record of W6, D1, L3 from 10 at this venue, conceding 16 goals and allowing an average of 1.60 per game.
They've won 4-0 against the dreadful Manningham United Blues, travelled to Port Melbourne and won 3-1 and then were held to a 3-3 draw away to Eltham, so they certainly have the ability to hurt this Victory II outfit.
Backing over 2.5 goals at 1.21 looks like a must, while both teams to score at 1.23 is an obvious bet that points to an open, exciting game that could go either way.
