- North Geelong Warriors have won 5 and lost 3 of their 8 home games in the NPL Victoria 2.
- Northcote City have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their 8 away games in the NPL Victoria 2.
- Northcote City have scored an average of 1.75 goals and conceded an average of 1.25 per away game in NPL Victoria 2.
Northcote City have momentum
North Geelong Warriors sit 8th in the NPL Victoria 2 table after 15 games played with 21 points, a mid-table position reflecting their mediocre start to the season. Northcote City are at the top of the table on 36 points after 16 games with a consistent showing throughout the campaign.
Northcote City's superior momentum gives them the upper hand in this game with 3 wins, 1 draw and just 1 defeat from their last 5 games. The visitors have won each of their last 3 in a row and have scored 2 goals in a victory away at Western United FC Youth (2-1) followed by a 3-1 win over Langwarrin SC at home last week.
Northcote City should be in good shape to continue their winning run against North Geelong Warriors, while they are considered the clear favourites at 1.62. North Geelong Warriors have never beaten Northcote City at home and look set to remain outsiders at 4.01 for this one.
Two different styles clash at the Southern end of the West Gate Bridge
This regional vs metropolitan rivalry has an added dimension and could be pivotal in the season for both sides. Two distinctly different styles will clash as Northcote City like to keep it tight and controlled, keeping the ball and slowing down the tempo in midfield, while North Geelong Warriors rely on wide deliveries and quick transitions, often shifting to a more direct, high-risk attack when chasing the game.
Northcote City's recent form and superior table position should be enough to see them take all 3 points in this one, and their average of 1.75 and 1.25 for and against on the road this season leads me to believe that the 'Over 2.5 Goals' market is worth a look at 1.3.
