- Marseille have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five matches.
- Auxerre have won one, drawn three and lost one of their last five Ligue 1 matches.
Free-scoring Marseille to take the spoils
AJ Auxerre currently sit 16th in Ligue 1, having collected just 19 points from their first 25 games in 2025-26, but Christophe Pelissier’s men have shown some signs of life away from home lately.
The Mustards have gone unbeaten in their last two road games, winning one and drawing one, suggesting they can be a tough nut for any side to crack at the moment. But this is not an ordinary side and Marseille are favoured heavily at 1.5 to take all the points in Friday’s clash.
Olympique Marseille have won eight, drawn three and lost just one of their 12 Ligue 1 home games this term, making the Vélodrome a formidable fortress for opponents to breach. Habib Beye’s men currently sit third in the table on 46 points from 25 games and are a genuine top-three side with a clear identity.
Beye took charge in February 2026 and has built a team that likes to have the ball, moves well in possession and can unlock stubborn defences with positional play, overloads and vertical combinations. The only problem has been keeping the opposition at bay, although they have improved in that area during the last month or so.
Pragmatic Auxerre will pack the defence
AJ Auxerre are a pragmatic team who like to pack the defensive third and rely on structure and discipline to stay in games. Lassine Sinayoko leads the line for Pelissier’s side, having found the net six times in 24 Ligue 1 appearances, and they are a team that can hurt opponents on the counter.
So, this clash is a classic clash of styles with Marseille playing an expansive style and Auxerre a containment one. Across the last two head-to-head clashes each side has one win, but the psychological edge will be with the hosts after they won 1-0 in the away Ligue 1 matchup four months ago.
The odds-on price for the home win is just 1.5, which leaves little chance to get on board, but the stats do suggest this will be a goal fest. Marseille have scored 32 goals in 12 home Ligue 1 games this year, which averages out at 2.67 per game, while Auxerre have scored 0.75 and conceded 1.67 on their travels.
Go for goals at both ends
Each side has one win and a defeat apiece in their previous two meetings, but given Marseille’s firepower at home, the hosts should take all three points. Over 2.5 goals, at 1.67, looks a solid punt with both teams to score - yes, at 1.85, also appealing given Marseille’s strong home record and Auxerre’s road struggles.
Mason Greenwood has been Marseille’s main man in their recent scoring surge, registering 15 goals in 24 Ligue 1 games. He is a threat every time he touches the ball and can score at any time, so take him in the anytime goalscorer market.
