- PSG and Newcastle are level on points in 6th and 7th respectively, having taken 13 points from 7 games each in the UEFA Champions League 2025/2026.
- PSG have failed to beat Newcastle in their last 2 Champions League meetings (1 draw, 1 win for Newcastle).
- PSG have scored 10 goals in 3 home Champions League games this season.
Champions League places on the line at Parc des Princes
Paris Saint-Germain have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches in all competitions, recovering from a 2-1 away defeat to Sporting in the Champions League to beat Auxerre 1-0 away in Ligue 1 at the weekend. Luis Enrique’s side have been very strong at home this term, winning 2 and losing 1 of their 3 games so far, while Newcastle have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.
Newcastle have had the better of PSG in their 2 previous Champions League encounters (1 win, 1 draw) and will be desperate to record another shock result in Paris like the one they got in Paris two years ago, when the Magpies got a 1-1 draw. Both sides will have been hoping for an easier matchup for their final match, but the Champions League is all about what you get, not what you want!
Luis Enrique’s fluid possession-based 4-3-3 morphs into a 3-2-5 in attack, with inverted full-backs, rotating central midfielders and a number 10 to control the tempo and overload the centre of the pitch. PSG’s high pressing game has produced 10 goals in just 3 home games in this year’s Champions League, but Newcastle’s pressing is more selective and they can be lethal in transition.
Eddie Howe’s side have been built around the 4-3-3 system since the Englishman took over in November 2021. They are a compact side, capable of playing at high intensity in bursts when the occasion suits. Newcastle favour quick vertical movements and wing overloads, as well as the occasional high-intensity press, to catch teams off guard and create chances.
Newcastle’s midfield dynamo can outplay PSG
Bruno Guimarães has scored 3 of Newcastle’s last 9 goals in his last 5 appearances, and it is the Brazilian’s ability to play as a number 10 or number 8 and dictate the tempo, as well as his recent scoring prowess, that could make all the difference in this clash. Vitinha has 4 Champions League goals for PSG this term, the most of any PSG player in this competition in 2025-2026, but Ousmane Dembélé is in better form with 4 goals in his last 5 games for PSG and is their most reliable finisher.
A meeting between PSG’s possession dominance and Newcastle’s explosive transition play is a fascinating chess match, but the Magpies have the better record against their hosts and Newcastle’s high press could prove effective against PSG’s busy number 10. However, with PSG scoring at will at home and Newcastle conceding an average of 1.33 goals per game on the road in the Champions League this campaign, the hosts should edge this clash and we expect a high-scoring encounter. PSG are 1.54 favourites for the game, while Newcastle are 5.2 outsiders. Over 2.5 goals is 1.5 in this contest, which seems exceptionally short, but PSG have the firepower and Newcastle the counter-attacking quality to break the deadlock on Wednesday.
