- Levski are unbeaten in their last 10 in all competitions, winning 8 and drawing 2.
- AEK are unbeaten in 4 away (Won 2, Drawn 2).
- Levski have won 8 of their last 10 and 6 of 6 at home, conceding just 1 goal, a 0.17 per game average.
Two hot teams meet in Champions League play-off
With something like a double chance on the line, as well as a place in the main draw of the UEFA Champions League, PFC Levski Sofia and AEK Athens should not lack motivation for Tuesday's two-legged qualifying match. Levski Sofia are red hot coming into this one, however, so much so that they can be easily backed at 4.05 to win through against AEK, who are priced up at 2.02. With the draw available at 3.25, this may be one to take the favourite Greek side to come through the first leg.
The Bulgarian champions have gone 10 without defeat in all competitions. They've since won 4 and drawn 1 of their following 5, finishing with a 2-0 victory over PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1936 at home and a 1-0 win away to Kairat. Reinaldo has been their key man, with 3 goals in 6 appearances in UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026.
AEK are another solid side, coming into this on a run of 6 wins, 3 draws and just 1 defeat in their last 10. They've won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their 5 games in all competitions since that loss, beating K. Sint-Truidense 3-0 at home after a 2-1 loss in the same place against Samsunspor. Milan Vitalis is the club's top scorer in this season's UEFA competition with 1 goal in 2 appearances.
AEK’s style should suit the occasion
AEK are a solid outfit, and Marko Nikolic's men have been going about their business in an interesting, if not always effective, manner. Nikolic seems to be favouring a more vertical game, where the team plays quickly on the break and aims to overload the flanks, with a focal striker to hit on the counter.
Julio Velazquez has taken Levski in a different direction, to a more patient side who do much of their business with the ball on the ground, building up from the back and using their full-backs to stretch the play.
It's set up to be a classic control vs counter match-up, with Levski hoping to pin AEK back and AEK looking to take the ball off them and run. However, I think the value is in the under, with under 2.5 goals at 1.78 looking like a fit for this fixture.
AEK should realistically be the favourites for this tie, but I can't see them running away with it against a Levski side who have been solid at home (W6, D0, L0) and have conceded just 1 goal in their 6 home games this season (0.17 per game). There's little to split these sides in my book, and I'm going for a scrappy, tactical affair over a flurry of goals.
