- Bayern Munich lead the Bundesliga 2025-2026 table with 70 points from 27 games.
- Freiburg have won two, drawn one, and lost two of their last five matches.
- Bayern Munich are unbeaten in their last two away games (W1, D1).
Bavarian Blitz
Vincent Kompany’s Bayern Munich have been on a rampage since he took over as manager in May 2024, instilling a possession-first, high-pressing ethos into this talented group of players and establishing a new era of dominance over the Bundesliga.
With 10 wins and 3 draws from 13 away matches in Bundesliga 2025-2026, Kompany’s men haven’t just dominated the away table, but have conceded just 0.92 goals per away game in the process.
The Bavarian giants are in solid form, unbeaten in five in all competitions (W4, D1), and Harry Kane is their talisman, leading the Bundesliga scoring charts with 31 goals in 26 games and bagging 5 in Bayern's last 5 matches.
Freiburg’s fairy tale
Freiburg have had a fairy-tale season under the guidance of Julian Schuster, who has organised the club with a pragmatic, structured approach since his appointment in July 2024.
They line up in a rigid 4-2-3-1, pressing intensely when necessary, but they’re just as effective on the counter or even from set-pieces, where they pose a genuine threat. With 37 points from their 27 games, they’ve got enough to sit comfortably in eighth place.
Igor Matanovic has been a standout in Freiburg’s frontline, he has 8 Bundesliga goals, including three of Freiburg's last 10 goals.
Going for goals
Bayern Munich’s 1.39 price to win on Saturday is about right for the Bundesliga leaders, but there are a few more odds available in the goals markets. Freiburg have won seven, drawn four, and lost just two of their 13 home games in Bundesliga 2025-2026, scoring 1.85 goals per-match on average.
Bayern Munich’s superior quality should see them through, but I’m backing the hosts to get on the scoresheet in a high-scoring affair. Over 2.5 goals looks a solid play at 1.38, while both teams to score is a decent option at 1.53.
