- South Hobart have won 5 and drawn 2 away games in NPL Tasmania 2026, averaging 3.71 goals per game away.
- South East United have won 2 and lost 4 of their 6 NPL Tasmania 2026 home games, scoring only 6 goals.
- When South Hobart hosted South East two months ago, the scoreline ended 6-0 to South Hobart.
Head-to-head tells the tale
South Hobart trounced South East United 6-0 in a home matchup two months ago and there doesn't appear to be much reason to suggest that this one will be any closer.
The home side have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches, showing their ability to compete but not their consistency. After a 1-0 win at home to Glenorchy Knights, South East United fell to a 1-0 defeat away at Launceston City.
In contrast, South Hobart are in great form, unbeaten in 5 with 3 wins and 2 draws. They followed up a solid 1-1 away draw against Kingborough Lions with a 6-1 thrashing of Glenorchy Knights at home in their last NPL Tasmania 2026 fixture, sending a message to the rest of the league.
South Hobart in a class of their own
South Hobart are the heavy favourites in NPL Tasmania 2026 and rightly so, sitting at the top of the table on 35 points from 13 games while South East United are 8th on 9 points.
The odds on this one are quite short, with the BTTS no market coming in at 1.51 and under 2.5 goals coming in at 5.4. It's easy to see why the bookies think this is a mismatch and we agree, South Hobart should control this game and are well placed to win by a margin.
South East United's best hope will be to remain compact and hope to nick a goal, South Hobart can control the game from the middle and create overloads on the wings. The home team will have to be content to react, which will be a good tactic but South Hobart's attacking quality is such that it is only a matter of time before they make the game uncomfortable. South Hobart have scored 26 goals away from home and will be ruthless once they start to score, the 6-1 result from last time out was no fluke.
The visitors should have no trouble finding the net on Sunday and, in our view, South Hobart -2 is the best value on the goal margin markets.
