- Devonport City Strikers won the last NPL Tasmania 2026 head-to-head 4-1 away, suggesting Devonport are superior.
- Devonport are unbeaten in their last 3 home games (W2, D1) and their overall home record in NPL Tasmania 2026 is (W5, D1, L0).
- South East United have lost their last 2 away games, so they need a quick start to stay in this one.
Odds are skewed and an opportunity missed
Devonport City Strikers are priced at 1.29 to take home the points here and there are plenty of reasons to doubt the value in that, not least the fact that South East United are the battlers in this fixture and have a huge odds of 5.93. The draw, which would represent a significant upset, is available at 6.35, so it's clear there's a huge skew in the market.
The hosts are 3rd in the NPL Tasmania 2026 table with 31 points from 13 games, while the visitors are 7th with 12 points from 14 matches. So it's not particularly surprising that Devonport are the favourites, but the prices are certainly surprising. There's little in the stats that suggests this will be anything but a comfortable home win.
Sides are set up to counter each other
South East United are set up in a pragmatic, low block by boss Adam Shackcloth, who will be looking to get bodies behind the ball, keep a tight shape, and keep the ball in narrow channels where they can be a threat from set pieces or on the break.
Devonport are more of a disciplined, well-drilled team who play a game of compact defending, patient build-up play, and verticality once in possession. Tom Ballantyne's side have won three of their last five (D1, L1) but were in top gear when winning at home 4-1 to Riverside Olympic after losing 2-1 at Kingborough Lions the previous week.
Goals are on the agenda
Devonport's home record in NPL Tasmania 2026 is unblemished, with five wins and one draw from six matches. They've conceded just four goals in that run, while South East United have one win and six defeats in their away games, conceding 23 at an average of 3.29 per-game.
The odds on goals are better than the match odds and, while Devonport should win this, Over 2.5 goals at 1.14 looks a great price if the hosts get going early.
