- South East United have lost all three of their NPL Tasmania 2026 home games (W1, L7).
- Ulverstone have lost all of their last five matches.
- South East United averages just 1.00 goals per game at home in NPL Tasmania 2026 (three goals in total) while Ulverstone concede an average of 3.67 goals away from home.
Two promoted teams battle it out
Saturday’s NPL Tasmania 2026 battle between South East United and Ulverstone is a clash of two promoted sides who are having torrid starts to the campaign. Neither of these teams has been able to find much comfort at home or away in their first season in the top tier of Tasmanian footy and this game could set the tone for their respective seasons.
Hosts South East United are currently in eighth place in the table with three points from their first eight games, while Ulverstone sit rock bottom with just one point from their opening eight matches. Neither side has a player that has stood out as a star and both managers are focused on a consolidation campaign.
South East United can win with discipline
South East United boss Luke Gurd has his side playing a more compact and pragmatic style of footy, looking to stay compact and get numbers behind the ball while looking to hit their opponents on the break. Ulverstone boss David Kewley has encouraged his side to play a more direct, higher-tempo game but this has left them more vulnerable in the defence, as the visitors are yet to record a single point on the road in NPL Tasmania 2026.
South East are the odds-on favourites at 1.57, while the visitors are available at 4.15 to take the points in the away match. The market is very keen on goals here as the Over 2.5 option is priced up at 1.21. With Ulverstone conceding an average of 3.67 goals per away match, we expect them to fall foul of South East’s compact style and be open to the counterattack.
Ulverstone in trouble
South East United have failed to win any of their three home games so far in NPL Tasmania 2026 but they can improve that poor record against this Ulverstone side, who have lost all of their previous three away games. United have lost four of their last five, but their only victory came in a 6-4 away win over a poor Launceston United side and they followed that up with a 5-0 thrashing away at Riverside Olympic.
Ulverstone have lost their two previous matches, a 2-1 loss away at Glenorchy Knights and a 4-0 defeat at home to Clarence Zebras. They have struggled to get going in the final third and have scored just 0.67 goals away from home but have conceded an alarming 3.67 per away match in NPL Tasmania 2026. The hosts can win this game and should be a better team than Ulverstone but we’re expecting both sides to be involved in an end-to-end game and we’re going with over 2.5 goals.
