- St. George Willawong FC are winless in their last five games, with four consecutive losses, averaging 0.20 goals per game at home.
- Redlands United are 8th with 12 points from 11 games.
- This match has local bragging rights, but with both sides struggling, the stakes are high for 2026 league positions.
St. George Willawong are on a long losing streak
St. George Willawong FC are currently rock bottom of the Queensland Premier League 2026 table having picked up just 4 points from their opening 12 games. Ronno Ferreira's side have been winless in their last five league matches, a run of form which culminated in an 8-0 thrashing away to Sunshine Coast Wanderers last weekend.
St. George Willawong are a relatively direct, transition team who like to push men forward quickly and counter-press ferociously after losing possession. Their strategy can be very effective against teams who like to play through the thirds, but less so when matched up against disciplined, possession sides who can control the tempo and keep players back.
Redlands United will sit deep and look to sting
Redlands United, on the other hand, are a side who do like to sit deep and play patient, possession-based football. Griffin Mansfield has forged a disciplined unit who will sit in a compact block and play possession football when they have it. They are disciplined in pressing in the midfield and will not concede space at the back, building from the back and trying to play in the opposition half.
Redlands United have a solid, if unspectacular start to their Queensland Premier League 2026 campaign, sitting 8th with 12 points from their 11 games. They're in better form than the hosts and will be confident of claiming all three points on Sunday, however, they will need to be wary of their opponent's recent upset victory in this fixture.
Odds are not worth the risk for a Redlands win
Odds of 1.95 for a Redlands United win seem a bit too short for this game, even though they are the better side and will be the more likely winner. St. George Willawong will be desperate for a result, and the fact they won the reverse fixture this season (2-0 away) may just give them a little hope.
A draw at 4.0 and St. George Willawong FC at 2.95 is more tempting, but I'm going to take the Over 2.5 goals odds at 1.36, which seem a little short for two defensively poor sides, but that's likely where the value lies. Redlands United are winless in their last five league games (D2, L3), have three away losses and are conceding an average of 1.80 goals per away game.
