- West Adelaide are 10th on 18 points from 17 games in the NPL South Australia 2026.
- Sturt Lions are 8th on 21 points from 17 matches.
- West Adelaide have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 in the last 5 head-to-head.
Two of the underdogs in the NPL South Australia 2026
West Adelaide and Sturt Lions are both mid-table teams who haven't excelled this season, so it's a tricky call between the pair at this stage in the season.
West Adelaide have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five matches, which isn't a full-on surge of form but is solid enough to suggest they'll get a run at Sturt this weekend.
The home side have won one and drawn one of their last two at home, so their most recent results are a little steadier than the overall table suggests. They have conceded 2.12 goals per game at home in the NPL South Australia 2026 however, so this match will swing back and forth.
Sturt Lions have won two and lost three of their last five, so they have been sharp in patches but have struggled to put a consistent run together.
Sturt won 1-0 against Playford City Patriots at home last time out, but that came after a 4-1 thrashing away to West Torrens Birkalla. Their form away from home has been unreliable in the NPL South Australia 2026, with two wins and six losses from eight games.
Both teams can get on the scoresheet
Sturt are winless in their last three away matches, which is a bit of a red flag ahead of this trip. They are a possession-based, structured side who like to press collectively and should be able to keep the ball moving well and control the tempo, but West Adelaide are a compact team who like to create width and transition quickly, so they'll be happy to chase Sturt down if the visitors overplay.
West Adelaide have conceded 2.12 goals per home game in the NPL South Australia 2026, keeping this game on the swing and both teams to score at 1.39 looks lively. Over 2.5 goals at 1.43 looks equally good.
Sturt average 1.50 goals scored and 2.00 goals conceded away from home in the NPL South Australia 2026, so goals are expected at both ends.
Sturt can nick it
West Adelaide are 2.49 for this game, Sturt are 2.38 and the draw is 3.44, which makes this a close call. Sturt are the narrow market favourites, but West Adelaide have home advantage to make this a fixture in swing-it territory.
The last 5 H2H have seen these teams finish even with two wins each and a draw, and Sturt edged a 4-3 thriller the last time they met at home in the NPL South Australia 2026.
This has the potential to go either way, but the correct score edge goes to Sturt, who are winless in their last two away H2H, by a single goal. West Adelaide are very much live in this matchup.
