- AEK Athens have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five home matches (all comps).
- PFC Levski Sofia have won four and drawn one of their last five matches.
- AEK Athens have scored an average of 2.00 goals per match at home across all competitions (10 goals, 5 games).
Classic press vs block battle in Greece
AEK Athens (Kitrinomavri - The Yellow and Blacks) and PFC Levski Sofia (Sinite - The Blues) both entered UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026 as recent domestic champions and after the 0-0 stalemate in the first leg, neither side have landed the first punch just yet.
AEK Athens have been in mixed form this season, winning three, drawing one and losing one of their last five (W3, D1, L1), but they have been pretty solid at home, winning three, drawing one and losing one of their last five at the Allwyn Arena.
Marko Nikolic's men (since 1st July 2025) typically set up in a 4-2-3-1 and like to hunt in packs, press high, play with a high line and overload the flanks. Milan Vitalis is their main outlet in this UEFA competition so far (1 goal in 2 games) and the team will look to their front line to make the breakthrough after a clean sheet in the 0-0 draw with Levski Sofia in the first leg.
Levski Sofia have been in excellent form in all competitions (W8, D2, L0), with the 2-0 win over PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1936 and the 1-0 victory at Kairat Almaty keeping the momentum rolling before a 0-0 draw with AEK Athens in UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026.
Julio Velazquez's side (since 5th January 2025) usually set up in a compact 4-2-3-1, sit deep, cede possession and look to sting teams on the break, particularly in the channels. Reinaldo is their biggest threat in this competition so far (3 goals in 7 games), scoring two of the six goals they have hit across their last five.
The odds don’t stack up
AEK Athens are 57/100 favourites to win this match, while Levski Sofia are 53/10 and the draw is 3/1, which doesn't make sense to us when it comes to this game.
Neither side is a value bet at the prices being offered and as such, we are going to focus on what should be a low-scoring affair. Under 2.5 goals is available at 81/100, while BTTS - No is priced at 67/100.
This is a classic press versus block battle and we expect AEK Athens' territorial pressure to come up against Levski Sofia's counter-attacking discipline on Wednesday, and that should make for a tight game.
AEK are the better side and are in a better place to win, but the 0-0 in the first leg and the odds tell us that another low-scoring game could be on the cards in Greece.
