- Olympiakos are 24th in the UEFA Champions League 2025/2026 group stage table with 8 points from seven games while AFC Ajax are 32nd with 6 points from 7 games.
- Ajax have not won a home game in the UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 season (W0, D0, L3), failing to score a goal at home.
- Olympiakos’s only recent away match was a 1-0 UEFA Champions League victory at Kairat Almaty.
A tactical chess match for the ages
Olympiakos Piraeus FC are the slight favourites at 13/10 to Ajax’s 37/20 and draw at 5/2, but the visitors will need to be at their best to get a result.
AFC Ajax and Olympiakos last played each other exactly a year ago in a friendly game that Ajax won 1-0 at home.
The difference in the clubs’ home records is significant to note with Ajax yet to win a game at Johan Cruijff Arena in this season’s Champions League (W0, D0, L3) and have failed to score a goal, whereas Olympiakos have won and lost two of their three away fixtures (W1, D0, L2).
This fixture is a real 'tactics face-off' with Ajax coach Fred Grim adding some tweaks to his team’s DNA since taking over in November 2025. Ajax continue to be an attack-minded, high-tempo team that likes to press and rotate players through positions to overload the defence, but Grim has added some defensive balance.
Olympiakos coach Jose Luis Mendilibar is a pragmatist and will try to keep the game tight and compact, ensuring the team is organized enough to counter-punch and exploit the space left by Ajax’s attacking full-backs. It will be an interesting chess match between the two coaches in what could be a cagey fixture.
Ajax and Olympiakos are not in good form
Olympiakos are in average form with two wins, a draw and two defeats from their last five games across all competitions. They beat Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 at home in the Champions League last time out, but were then beaten 2-0 in the Cup away to PAOK.
Ajax arrive on a two-match winning streak following their 2-1 away win at Villarreal in the Champions League and a 2-0 home win over FC Volendam in the Eredivisie last time out. However, Ajax have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five games in all competitions, so form is not an indicator for this contest.
The ‘Both Teams To Score’ market is heavily favoured at 1/2 here, which suggests that the main selection, Olympiakos Draw No Bet, might be the smart play in this game.
Olympiakos are a more structured team who have the capability to make the contest tight and tense while Ajax will always try to play at a high tempo and will continue to do so until they are out of the contest.
A close and tense affair is expected with Olympiakos having the tools and talent to edge out an Ajax side who have lost all three of their home games in the Champions League this season.
Chances at both ends likely
Oscar Gloukh is Ajax’s current top scorer in the Champions League with three goals in seven games, so there is a consistency to the goals they are getting in this competition, but Youri Baas has also hit a rich vein of form with three in his last five appearances.
Ayoub El Kaabi is Olympiakos’s top scorer in the competition with two in seven, but the Moroccan often arrives with the right timing and he could be the hero in this one. Rayane Bounida adds the creative spark to the hosts’ play, having registered three assists in his last five matches.
