- Sudbury’s home record reads won 3, drawn 4, lost 13 in 20 games, conceding 51 goals.
- Sudbury have failed to win any of their last 4, failing to take a point from their last two home games.
- Stourbridge have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league games, drawing back-to-back home games before a narrow defeat.
Sudbury vs Stourbridge - a battle of contrasting styles
AFC Sudbury are the team in greater trouble as they sit 22nd in the Southern League Premier Division Central on 25 points from 40 games. Stourbridge FC are in 16th on 44 points, in a more comfortable mid-table position.
Sudbury play a tight game with players and lines compact, deep and with many bodies behind the ball to defend their goal. They defend deep and aim to counterattack, with survival the only objective, risk-taking minimal.
Stourbridge, on the other hand, play an up-tempo game, wide and direct with the ball. They press high and are more proactive than their opponents, preferring to turn the opposition over and create their own chances. Saturday’s game could go either way if Stourbridge’s pressing game is successful or if Sudbury can catch them on the counterattack.
Stourbridge should just about have enough to get the job done
Stourbridge are 4/5 favourites against Sudbury, who are 62/25 underdogs. Stourbridge have won 5, drawn 6 and lost 9 in 20 away games in the league, scoring 1.20 goals per game and conceding 1.90 per game on average. Sudbury have lost four consecutive league matches, so the visitors should win this.
Sudbury beat Stourbridge 3-2 away from home in the reverse fixture so they are capable of causing an upset, but the visitors have the better recent overall form and should have the quality to get the 3 points.
Go for goals
This game is a key fixture for both clubs at this stage in the season and they should both be open to attack, so the ‘Over 2.5 goals’ market at 47/100 could be a smart play.
