Atletico Madrid

vs

FK Bodo Glimt

Tips, Stats and Odds

In-form Atletico face in-form Bodo

The formbook suggests a tight contest when in-form Atletico Madrid take on in-form Bodo Glimt in a key game for both clubs in their progress in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday. Atleti are a 13/50 favourite to beat the Norwegians, who are a huge 8/1 outsider for the game, but the gap in odds doesn’t tell the whole story. Bodo are a much improved club from the one that failed to win any of their three away games in this season's Champions League group stage and have hit a rich vein of form in recent weeks. Kjetil Knutsen has done a remarkable job at the club since taking over in July 2022 and Bodo are currently undefeated in five games, with four wins and a draw, after their 3-1 victory over Manchester City last week. The visitors have also beaten Diosgyor VTK 4-1 in a friendly match since then and their recent three successive victories suggest they could make this a lively clash.

Atleti have the class to edge it

Bodo are 28th in the Champions League with 6 points from 7 games and rightfully have major underdog status for this game. Atleti are 12th with 13 points from 7 so far and have only conceded three goals in their three home games. Although Bodo have scored five times on their travels in the Champions League, we can’t see them breaking through the Atleti defence enough to take a point here. Oscar Fernandez’s side are an all-action 4-4-2 that can morph into a 4-3-3 when in possession. They are narrow, compact and very good defensively, but always looking to hurt teams on the counter attack. Knutsen’s team are a different breed of 4-3-3, all pressing and pushing forward, looking to turn players and create a tempo in the game. This will be an intriguing tactical battle with Bodo’s relentless style going up against Atleti’s disciplined and structured game plan. It could be a lively game and, although Atleti are the clear favourites, the Over 2.5 goals market is short enough at 7/25 to take the odd goal.

Alvarez and Soerloth can make their mark

Julian Alvarez is Atleti’s most prolific player in the Champions League with four goals from six games, but Alexander Soerloth has found his scoring boots, netting three of Atleti’s last eight goals in their previous five matches. Soerloth should play in a front two with Alvarez again and they will both be expected to strike at some stage here. Jens Petter Hauge is the go-to man for Bodo in Europe and has scored four goals in seven appearances for them in this competition this season. Both teams will look to press forward in this game and can provide value in the anytime goalscorer market. Atleti have won two and lost one of their last three at home, but they have too much class for Bodo to resist for the duration here.