- Bayer 04 Leverkusen have won four and drawn one of the last five H2H matches in all competitions.
- Leverkusen have won seven, drawn three and lost three of their 13 home games in the Bundesliga 2025-2026 season.
Top vs tail in the Bundesliga on Saturday
Bayer 04 Leverkusen will be looking to exploit VfL Wolfsburg’s frailties in the Bundesliga 2025-2026 relegation battle when they host the struggling visitors on Saturday.
Leverkusen’s form has dipped slightly in recent weeks, registering a run of one win and four draws from their last five Bundesliga matches. The last two of which have included a home draw against Bayern Munich and an away draw at FC Heidenheim, and there seems to be an absence of a sharp edge to their game recently.
But this is still a top-half club in every sense with the 6th-placed Eagles having accumulated 46 points from 27 games, and the quality they have on the pitch should be more than enough to claim all three points against the relegation strugglers.
The visitors arrive in pretty miserable shape in the Bundesliga table, 17th with 21 points from 27 matches, and in desperate need of points to pull themselves away from the bottom three. The hosts have won the majority of recent H2Hs and are strongly fancied to secure a home win, although the odds are not very attractive at 39/100.
Leverkusen look to exploit Wolfsburg’s defensive frailties
Dieter Hecking has tried to get Wolfsburg to be solid and pragmatic, packing the defence deep and being organised since taking charge in March 2026. The problem is they have too many frailties at the back to rely on that tactic for a whole game.
Maxence Lacroix is doing his best at the heart of their defence, but there will be no hiding from the fluid, dynamic Leverkusen attack on Saturday. Wolfsburg have struggled away, with one draw and one defeat in their last two away games, and will be under pressure on the road.
Kasper Hjulmand has played proactive football since he took the reins at Leverkusen in September 2025, with his side playing a possession-based system with lots of rotations and a high-energy pressing game to dominate matches. Florian Wirtz is the focal point of his strategy, with the attacking midfielder providing the creativity and vision in the final third, but Granit Xhaka is the axis upon which all else turns.
Heidenheim is a good comparison for Wolfsburg’s away game
Patrik Schick is the goal threat, having netted nine goals in 21 Bundesliga appearances this season, while Mohamed Amoura (8 goals in 24 Bundesliga games) is Wolfsburg’s main outlet in attack.
Leverkusen have scored 26 goals in 13 home Bundesliga matches this term and have the ability to cause Wolfsburg many problems at the BayArena. The visitors have struggled to score away from home this term, while they concede a lot of goals, so both teams to score is a better proposition than I would have expected at 31/50.
Over 2.5 goals is available at a price of 12/25, so it’s a high-scoring affair expected. The stylistic clash between Leverkusen’s pro-active attack and Wolfsburg’s sit-deep survival mentality should lead to plenty of chances for both sides and I’m happy to back the home side to take all the points here, although a 2-1 home victory is preferred to the result market.
