- Casa Pia have conceded 7.00 goals per game at home in the Primeira Liga 2026-2027.
- Moreirense have scored 0.00 goals and conceded 4.00 on the road.
- Moreirense have drawn 2 of their last 3 matches and held SC Braga 2-2.
Casa Pia still have the worst defensive record
Casa Pia Atletico are 18th in the Primeira Liga 2026-2027 with 0 points from 2 games, while Moreirense are 16th with 1 point from 2 games, so it's no surprise that both clubs are looking for points at the wrong end of the table at the moment.
Filipe Coelho's men come into Sunday's clash at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, Portugal, on a 3-game losing streak, having been beaten by Benfica Lisbon B, CS Maritimo Funchal and SL Benfica, respectively. They have won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five matches, so they are a team out of form and with no momentum to speak of.
Moreirense have played three matches, drawn with AVS Futebol SAD 0-0, and SC Braga 2-2 before a 4-0 defeat at FC Arouca, so the form has been mixed, but they can claim to have held Braga to a draw and they should be in the game against Casa Pia on Sunday.
Moreirense have more quality in forward areas
Moreirense are still in search of their first away win in Primeira Liga 2026-2027 after just 1 game away, but they can be positive on the counter and should create more than their hosts in this clash.
Coelho has Casa Pia set up in a more pragmatic back-four with a compact mid-block and direct transition play, they are designed to be a narrow team that can break forward, but they don't have the quality to do anything else.
Vasco Botelho da Costa's men play a quicker, more vertical game with flexible shapes, wing play and proactive pressing to force turnovers. Alexandre Duville-Parsemain has 1 assist in 2 Primeira Liga 2026-2027 games and looks like the creator that is making Moreirense tick.
Joao Veloso has 1 goal in 2 for Moreirense and gives them a better chance of finishing than the hosts, who are probably relying on counterattacks to get a goal on Sunday.
The hosts come into the match as favourites at 28/25, but Moreirense are only 13/5 and I think it's more likely that they get something from this clash. The draw at 47/20 looks like a good play for a match that could easily be a cagey affair.
Moreirense will keep the game close
Casa Pia's best chance of keeping this close is their grinding, counter-punching style, and they may just hold out for a point in a tough game at the bottom of the Primeira Liga 2026-2027.
Under 2.5 goals at 31/50 is a strong favourite but it is the right price for what should be a scrappy affair, and Both Teams To Score at 19/20 looks good, because if either team gets a break it could decide the match.
Casa Pia have averaged 1.3 goals against Moreirense in their 5 previous head-to-heads at home, while the visitors have averaged 1.0 as away from home, suggesting that Moreirense should keep this one close.
