- Crystal Palace's last 10 games have seen them win five, draw zero and lose five in a boom-or-bust sequence of results.
- KKS Lech Poznan are in good nick, winning eight, drawing one and losing one of their last ten games in all competitions.
- KKS Lech Poznan have won three, drawn one and lost one of their five away fixtures in all competitions this season, conceding seven goals.
Expect goals at Selhurst Park
Crystal Palace are the big favourites at 41/100 with KKS Lech Poznan at 6/1 and the draw 18/5, but we think the odds on this game are close enough to make it a live game on Thursday.
The Eagles come into the game off the back of an entertaining 3-2 away win at Fulham and a 3-0 home win over Middlesbrough in the cup. However, the 3-2 loss to Ipswich at Selhurst was not long ago and shows that Palace's backline is vulnerable.
Pierre Sage has Palace well drilled, with a compact back-three shape and sharp vertical counters built to spring quickly in transition. When they win the ball back, Palace can get forward very quickly and the width of the wing-backs should create a real chess match in the wide channels against Lech's vertical possession game.
Lech can make it tricky for The Eagles
Niels Frederiksen has his side playing a double-pivot system and they get the ball forward very fast after winning second balls. This can be lethal against teams that sit deep and will make it difficult for the Palace defence on Thursday.
Joergen Strand Larsen has been The Eagles' main finisher of late with three goals in the last five, but Daichi Kamada is their key player at the moment, providing three assists across the same fixtures. With a bit of magic, the Japanese playmaker can make this a very difficult night for Lech's defenders.
Kolejorz have been solid away from home, going 3-1-1 in all competitions and conceding seven times across those five games. They beat Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 at home before suffering a disappointing 2-1 away defeat to KS Gornik Zabrze last weekend, but still arrive in England in good form.
Palace to edge it in South London
Palace are the clear favourites for this fixture and rightly so, but their 5-0-5 record in the last ten in all competitions is boom or bust and Lech are in top form at the moment.
The odds on Palace are too short, but we can still make some profit by taking Over 2.5 goals at 31/50 and Both Teams to Score - Yes at 4/5, as we think this game could be tight enough for a few goals.
Palace have won three of five at home in all competitions and are averaging 2.80 goals per game at the Selhurst Park, so we expect them to have enough bite to see off Lech on the night.
