- Bayern Munich are the clear favourites to win this game at 7/20.
- Stuttgart have won one and lost one of their last two away Bundesliga matches.
- Bayern have won the last three head-to-head fixtures and thrashed Stuttgart 5-0 in the Bundesliga away fixture four months ago.
Kompany’s possession-based Bayern Munich are a class apart
Bayern Munich have 76 points from 29 games and they are the class of the division in 2025-2026. Vincent Kompany has moulded them in his image since taking charge in May 2024, instilling a possession-based game where the ball is moved at pace, the defensive line is high and the full-backs overlap to create attacking overloads.
Kompany’s high-pressing game has seen them win four and draw one of their past five matches, while they have a 12-1-1 home record in the Bundesliga in 2025/2026. Their last two games - a 3-2 away win at Freiburg and a 5-0 hammering of St. Pauli away - show their ability to cut loose and score goals with Harry Kane, Jamal Musiala and Leroy Sané providing the spark, pace and creativity in behind the play.
Hoeneß has made Stuttgart very dangerous in transition
VfB Stuttgart are having a good season by any measure, sitting third in the Bundesliga on 56 points from 29 matches, but they are a little short in the consistency stakes. Sebastian Hoeneß has brought a real discipline and sense of identity to the club since taking over in April 2023 and his compact 4-2-3-1 is always looking to press and transition into vertical attacks at speed.
Stuttgart’s away record of six wins, three draws and five defeats from 14 Bundesliga games in 2025/2026 has a few warts on it, but they are always dangerous when they can play on the front foot as they did when beating FC Augsburg 5-2 away from home recently. They lost 2-0 at home to Borussia Dortmund next time out before going back to their winning ways with a 4-0 thumping of Hamburger SV at their home ground.
Deniz Undav is their main goal threat with 18 goals in 25 Bundesliga games and he has scored three times in Stuttgart’s last five matches. But Chris Führich and Serhou Guirassy offer plenty of movement and can get the ball into dangerous areas, particularly in transition.
Bayern’s firepower is superior and they will want to win this
There is no way around the fact that Bayern Munich are the best team in the Bundesliga and they will be keen to show that when they host third-placed Stuttgart on Sunday. The visitors have not won in their last three meetings with the Bavarians and, while the odds for them to do so again are very long, the way in which Hoeneß has set them up means this game should not be a one-sided affair.
The chances of Bayern winning are high, but there is scope for Stuttgart to get into the game and make it a lively affair. The visitors have conceded 24 goals in 14 Bundesliga away games this season - an average of 1.71 per game, so they should be able to find the net at the Allianz Arena.
Bayern have kept it tight at the back, conceding only 13 goals in 14 home Bundesliga matches, so both teams to score and over 2.5 goals looks the best bet in this clash between the Bundesliga champions and DFB-Pokal winners.
The odds for both teams to score - Yes are 19/50 and Over 2.5 match goals is 1/4, which seems short for a game between the division’s best and third best teams. But Kompany’s team has a superior goal threat and will want to maintain the momentum of their three-game winning streak in this fixture, which adds extra spice to the fixture.
