- FC Livingston’s home record in the Premiership - Relegation Round 2026 is W1, D8, L8 (from 17 home games).
- Kilmarnock are on a three-match winning streak in the same competition, including a 3-0 away win over Saint Mirren FC last time out.
- Kilmarnock have won 1 and drawn 2 of the last 3 head-to-head meetings with FC Livingston, the most recent of which was a 2-0 win at home.
Dale’s boys have the edge in a classic clash of styles
The contrast in styles between FC Livingston and Kilmarnock sets up a classic contest in West Lothian on Sunday, with Livi’s pace and willingness to take the game to opponents facing off against Killie’s structure-first, low-risk approach.
Marvin Bartley took over as Livi boss in February 2026 and has maintained the compact, counter-attacking philosophy, despite the off-field instability that has been dogging the club since the beginning of the year. Livi can be very direct and dangerous on the break with their pace on the wings, but they often leave too much space at the back and can be picked off on the counter-attack.
Neil McCann took over at Kilmarnock in January and immediately tightened up the defence. His team have won their last three games and are very efficient in terms of set-piece play and transition goals. Killie’s defence is disciplined and block up well, but they have conceded 2.17 goals per away game on average in the Premiership - Relegation Round 2026, so they could easily get caught out on Sunday.
Spoils may be shared
Killie are the favourites for this game at 34/25, but there is enough doubt about their away form to make it worthwhile taking the draw at 119/50 here. Bartley’s Livingston are available at 187/100, but Kilmarnock’s form and the psychological edge they have over their hosts, who have failed to beat Killie in their last 3 attempts, make them the best bet here.
Both teams average too many goals conceded to rely on for a clean sheet punt, so ‘Both teams to score - Yes’ at 29/50 looks a safe choice here.
Findlay Curtis the danger man
Findlay Curtis is Kilmarnock’s danger man, having bagged three goals in three league games during the Relegation Round, and he has contributed nearly half of Killie’s seven goals in the last five games.
Joel Nouble remains the key man in the Livi attack, but he has managed just one goal in three league games during the Relegation Round. Lewis Smith has chipped in with 2 of Livi’s last 5 goals, however, and he might be the man to provide the spark up front that could decide this.
Kilmarnock have 34 points from 36 matches and sit 4th in the table, while Livi are in 6th with 20 points after 36 matches, so the visitors are clear favourites to win this relegation showdown, but they’ll have to grind it out.