- Fleetwood Town have won two and drawn one of their last three home fixtures.
- Arsenal have won four of their last five, including the last three.
- Arsenal have won five, drawn none and lost one of their six competitive away fixtures this season (W5, D0, L1).
Arsenal are red hot favourites for the Cod Army
This match is a tale of two towns, two managers and two very different approaches to playing football. Matt Lawlor, who took over Fleetwood Town on 26 January 2026, has built a compact, high-energy football team that can play with direct transitions and in the second halves. Fleetwood are a team with plenty of width, they like to break forward directly and they have enough energy to come back if necessary. In Arsenal, however, Mikel Arteta has got the Gunners playing an equally fluid, but possession-first, style of football where the ball is spread wide to stretch the pitch and where they press with numbers and rotate positions to great effect.
This is a classic possession vs counter setup and it is hard to see Arsenal giving Fleetwood Town too much space in this match, though the Cod Army can hunt turnovers and set-piece scraps. However, Arsenal are in fine form and have been winning games by keeping it tight, so they will most likely play the patient away game on Tuesday night.
Fleetwood Town have some bite in a tight game
Fleetwood's recent results have been mixed, but they will fancy their chances of getting on the scoresheet against an Arsenal side that isn't completely bulletproof at the back. In League Two 2026/2027, Fleetwood's last two results read a 2-0 home win against Rotherham United and a 4-2 away defeat to Cheltenham Town. On the back of these two games, Fleetwood Town are in okay form, though across all competitions, their 10-match form book reads three wins, two draws and five defeats - making them underdogs in this EFL Cup 2026-2027 game. Arsenal's form book is equally easy to read: nine wins and one defeat in their last 10 in all competitions, a record that leaves no doubt that these Gunners are in serious title-chasing form. They beat Lille 3-0 in their UEFA Champions League league phase 2026/2027 match before edging out Nottingham Forest 1-0 away from home in the Premier League 2026/2027.
A low scoring Arsenal win is a likely outcome
Backing Arsenal to win at 1/10 is about as sure a thing as there is in life and the 35/4 for a draw would take the roof off if it landed. The most likely outcome is that Arsenal will win, but we feel Fleetwood can make this a scrappy game in the early stages as they attempt to play a compact mid-block and pounce on Arsenal mistakes. However, Arsenal have enough quality to eventually control this game and over 90 minutes, the away price of 1/10 looks accurate enough. Arsenal are averaging 1.50 goals per away game across all competitions this term and have already netted nine times on the road, so they should have no trouble scoring a couple here. Both Teams To Score: No comes in at 9/20, however, and this looks the best way to play it.
