- Longford have won two of the three previous First Division 2026 encounters, with Treaty failing to win either of those two matches.
- Longford have won eight of their 15 home games in the First Division 2026 (D2, L5) and have conceded only 14 goals at The City Calling Stadium.
Longford the long shot to take the win
Longford Town are the slight favourites for this Saturday's meeting with Treaty United FC, but only at 93/100 against the visitors at 53/20 and the draw at 13/5. De Town sit sixth in the table with 41 points from 30 games, whereas The Shannonsiders are 9th with 30 points after as many matches.
Treaty United's recent form has been mixed-to-poor, with just one win, one draw and three defeats from their last five matches in all competitions. Tommy Barrett's men come into this fixture on the back of a two-game losing streak, which was initiated by a 3-1 away defeat to mid-table Kerry FC and followed up by a 0-1 home defeat to Wexford FC.
Longford Town haven't been playing at their best lately either, with just 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 in all competitions. Gary Cronin's side arrive here on the back of a 4-0 home win over Bray Wanderers, a 2-2 away draw with Cobh Ramblers and a 0-1 loss at home to Kerry FC.
Treaty’s solid system can keep this close
Treaty United have built a solid, disciplined side since Tommy Barrett took over in February 2021, but their First Division 2026 away record of two wins, five draws and eight defeats is not great, while the 28 goals they've conceded on their travels at a rate of 1.87 per game doesn't inspire.
Longford's home record of eight wins, two draws and five defeats from 15 games played in the league this season is solid, but it's the fact that they have conceded just 14 goals in that period that is really impressive. Gary Cronin's men employ a four-man base that allows them to control games, while their early pressing bursts will surely cause Treaty United all kinds of problems.
Treaty United's system is to stay compact, protect the areas of the pitch in front of their defence and hit on the break, which will certainly work to their advantage in this fixture. However, the head-to-head record in the First Division 2026 favours the hosts, who should be able to nick this game. The 90 minutes will surely be tight, but Longford's control of the game from home will make the win market the cleanest play for us and Aaron Doran will have a massive say if Longford are to take all three points, as he has three of their seven goals across the last five games and the striker knows exactly where the net is.
Both teams to score at 7/10 looks the sharp alternative, but we'll play the odds on Longford to do a professional job on their home patch.
