- Treaty United have won six, drawn four and lost six at home in the First Division 2026 (W6, D4, L6).
- UCD have won four, drawn five and lost seven on the road in the First Division 2026 (W4, D5, L7).
- Treaty have scored 19 in 16 home games in the First Division 2026 (1.19).
Tight first half, loose second half expected
Tommy Barrett's Treaty United FC have been a sturdy part of the First Division 2026 since he took over as head coach in February 2021. They have built a compact, balanced side who can hurt teams on the break if the ball is not played quickly enough in transition. That means UCD will need to be patient, which is not their strong suit, when they visit Treaty United in Ireland on Friday.
The Students play a possession-first, probing game through the midfield and the wide areas and that approach should ensure that UCD force Treaty to defend deep in the first half.
The home side have won two and lost three of their last five and come into this match on the back of a solid 2-1 win over Finn Harps after a recent away loss.
UCD have the quality to win but may have to work for it
UCD's form is also a mixed bag with one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five matches, although the visitors do come into this one on the back of two straight defeats.
The visitors sit 3rd in the First Division 2026 with 49 points from 33 games, while Treaty are 9th with 36 points from the same amount of matches, so there is a significant gap in quality and class between these two.
Andy Myler has done a fantastic job since taking over as UCD coach in December 2019, building a side around a possession game and a structure that has kept them in and around the top end of the table.
Take UCD to win in the draw no bet market
UCD have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these sides at Treaty United, the other being a 1-2 away victory in the First Division 2026.
Their away record in the First Division 2026 is not great but the league form of both sides indicates that UCD are the more likely winner in this one.
We are taking UCD to edge a result in the 'away win' Draw No Bet option as we feel Treaty can make them work for the win and nick a goal of their own.
Over 2.5 goals at 31/50 looks a solid play as both sides have enough attacking quality to make the scoreboard move, although neither side have been regular high-scoring sides in 2026.
The BTTS (both teams to score) option at 53/100 also appeals as Treaty can nick one if UCD overcommit to get forward and The Students have the firepower to punish their hosts.
Hugh Smith has been UCD's in-form threat, scoring three of their ten goals in their last five, offering a real cutting edge.
