- Norwich have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five Championship matches.
- Derby County have won three and lost two of their last five in the Championship.
- Derby have won nine, drawn three and lost nine of 21 away Championship matches this season, scoring 32 goals.
Two progressive sides contest a tight clash
Derby County will face Norwich City at Carrow Road on Tuesday in an attempt to replicate a 1-0 home win over the Canaries from earlier in this Championship season. The Rams are currently eighth, five points above Norwich in ninth, with 63 points from 42 games.
John Eustace’s side have looked in better form than Norwich going into this one, having won three of their last five games, losing two. They come into this game with 1 win and 2 losses in their last three away matches, suggesting they will not be overawed by the home crowd. Eustace has overseen a solid and pragmatic approach to the Championship since his appointment as Derby boss in February 2025, one which relies on defensive solidity and transitions.
Philippe Clement’s Norwich team, meanwhile, have won eight, drawn two and lost 11 of their 21 home matches in the Championship this season, averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.24 goals conceded per game. Norwich’s results at Carrow Road are a concern, with no wins in their last two games there, although they did beat Millwall 2-1 away from home on Saturday. They fell to a disappointing 2-0 home defeat to Ipswich Town last time out, suggesting that there is still some work to do.
Rams can make the most of Norwich’s defensive weaknesses
Norwich have a more possession-based approach to the game, one which Clement has emphasised since taking over in November 2025. They like to build from the back, creating central overloads through flexible formations, while Derby prefer a compact setup with more focus on transitions.
This stylistic clash could favour the Rams, with Derby having more of a knack of making the most of their chances. Norwich have a decent forward line, with Jovon Makama scoring 10 Championship goals in 28 appearances to lead the Canaries’ scoring charts, while Pelle Mattsson has scored three of Norwich’s last four in his last five appearances.
However, Carlton Morris has scored 12 goals in 27 Championship appearances for Derby, and has been a key attacking weapon.
With Eustace’s men on a better run, and knowing they beat Norwich 1-0 in the last head-to-head, we’re backing the visitors to edge this one, with the odds of 241/100 looking attractive.
