- OFI FC's home defensive record is immaculate this season with four wins in four and 0.00 goals conceded across those matches.
- Hoffenheim's away record in all competitions is 2-2-2 across their six previous trips and they have been involved in some open matches (2.17 scored per game, 1.83 conceded).
- OFI FC have won their last three games and have posted a 3-1-1 record in their last five across all competitions.
OFI can make this competitive
OFI FC will fancy this game against TSG 1899 Hoffenheim after their fine start to the season, winning all four of their home games to nil. O Ómilos come into this European fixture in great spirits after a 1-0 victory away at Olympiakos last time out, coming after consecutive home wins to nil over A.E. Kifisia and Nestos Chrisoupolis.
Hoffenheim are a big favourite for this game, but OFI FC's form and the fact this is being played in Greece make it a live underdog story for us.
Die Kraichgauer have won their most recent game after narrow losses to Köln and Dortmund, and their form has been mixed over the last 10 (W5, D2, L3), so we feel the hosts can make this a competitive game.
An open game likely, but not guaranteed
OFI FC play with a very solid, compact three-at-the-back shape with discipline and structure at the base of their tactics. Christos Kontis' side are hard to break down and they hit the counter-attack very well.
Christian Ilzer's Hoffenheim side are a high-pressing team, with a very fluid shape that looks to force turnovers and then counter with great pace. This will be a classic battle of press vs compact, and the side that wins the central battle should control the rhythm of the match.
Hoffenheim should edge it on paper, but OFI's home form and defensive record should not be ignored. We're expecting an open match, as per the odds suggest, but the hosts' shutout record and Hoffenheim's average of 2.17 and 1.83 goals per game away from home tells us this could be a tight tactical match.
Over 2.5 goals at 57/100 and Both Teams To Score at 3/4 is what we're going for in the game odds market. The 29/5 on OFI looks quite attractive, but there is simply more value in the goal markets, which should land whichever way the match plays out.
Hoffenheim to win at 41/100 and OFI FC to win at 29/5 is the current pricing, with the draw priced at 73/20.
