- Lyon have won all three of their home games in the 2025-2026 UEFA Europa League, conceding only one goal.
- Lyon have won five consecutive matches in all competitions, including two away fixtures against BSC Young Boys Bern (Europa League) and FC Metz (Ligue 1).
- PAOK Thessaloniki have won their last three matches, including a 2-0 home victory over Real Betis in the Europa League.
Lyon in dominant form
Lyon are 33/50 favourites to see off PAOK Thessaloniki at the Stade des Lumieres on Thursday in a match where both teams are in excellent form, but the Greek club have the momentum to ensure a competitive match.
Les Gones top the 2025/2026 UEFA Europa League table with 18 points from seven matches. Paulo Fonseca, who took over as Lyon’s manager in January 2025, has made them a tough unit to break down by controlling games and dominating possession.
Lyon are always looking for width and to create overloads, but they are patient and don’t force the pace when they don’t need to. Their clinical home form should see them through against PAOK, but Razvan Lucescu’s side are playing well and could make them work for it.
PAOK are 12th in the table with 12 points from seven games, and they have been a bit up-and-down. However, a run of three wins and two draws in their last five suggests they are in good spirits ahead of a challenging trip to France.
Goal markets look generous
PAOK have struggled defensively on the road in the Europa League, conceding 9 goals in 3 away fixtures, so the ‘Over 2.5 goals’ market at 7/10 is very attractive here.
Corentin Tolisso, Lyon’s chief goalscorer with 4 goals in 5 UEFA Europa League games this term, is the obvious pick to get on the scoresheet while Endrick has also been in clinical form with 4 in his last 5.
Andrija Zivkovic leads the line for PAOK with 3 in 7 outings in this competition and can be backed at a long price to get on the scoreboard.
Lyon will surely win the match given their dominant form in the competition and PAOK’s mixed away record (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss from 3), but the odds of 33/50 on the home side are a bit short and 15/4 on the visitors are also generous.
Lyon’s style is possession-based and they will try to dominate midfield, which sets up the transitional battle that suits the visitors.
Lyon’s defence has been excellent at home in the Europa League with only 1 goal conceded in 3 games and a similar showing will put them in the hat for the draw.