- Stafford Rangers' overall home performance this season is 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 2.25 goals-per-game at home.
- Grimsby Town have won their last 2 matches, beating Gillingham 4-1 (away) and York City FC 5-2 (home).
- Grimsby Town have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 away from home in all competitions, but have scored 8 goals in 5 away games.
Boro are battle-ready for the Mariners
Grimsby Town are the 3/10 favourites for Sunday's FA Cup 2026-2027 clash at the Stan Robinson Stadium, which means the hosts, Stafford Rangers, are the big 38/5 outsiders. Those odds don't reflect well on the home side, but we will take Stafford's chances as they have a puncher's chance of taking the Mariners to penalties, at the very least.
Boro boss Graham Deakin has been in charge since 1 May 2026 and has certainly made his mark on the team, encouraging his players to play on the front foot and with width, while also targeting set-pieces. This has led to some impressive results of late, with Boro taking two wins, two draws and one defeat from their last five games.
Jack Birch has been a live wire in this run, scoring two of Boro's six goals across that run. In their most recent games, they have drawn 1-1 away to Gateshead and thrashed the same side 5-0 in the FA Cup Qualifier back home.
Grimsby have better form and should control the game
David Artell's team come into the matchup, winning their last two, but it has been an inconsistent season for the team since Artell took charge on 27 November 2023. He has turned them into a well-drilled 4-2-3-1 side with a pressing game that has proven to work when they are at their best.
Grimsby have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten matches in all competitions, but the fact that they have won their last two gives them momentum to carry into this cup tie. However, the wide areas have been key for them recently, as has a long and direct delivery from set pieces.
We're going to side with the visitors here, as they should have the quality to win and there will surely be goals in the game. Stafford can play on the front foot and make it a competitive contest, but Grimsby's midfield structure is just that little bit better and should give them the edge in terms of clean sheets. We're backing Over 2.5 goals at 9/20 and Both Teams To Score - Yes at 4/5.