- Tottenham have won one, drawn one and lost two of their four home fixtures in Premier League 2026/2027.
- Crystal Palace have won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five games.
- Palace won 3-1 when they last visited Tottenham in Premier League 2025/2026, winning three of the last five meetings.
Spurs will like this fixture
Tottenham Hotspur are slight favourites at 16/25 to beat Palace on Saturday, so we can't have much faith in that. But with the Eagles priced at 18/5, it's clear that the odds-makers are favouring the home side. The draw is also too short at 31/10, so we will have to take the visitors to keep this a live game and swerve the favourites.
Spurs are in better form than Palace going into this one (W2, D1, L2), so with home advantage, they will be expecting to win. Roberto De Zerbi's side have been more solid of late, winning their last two games after a 1-1 draw at Manchester United. Tottenham got back to winning ways with a 3-1 victory over Coventry City at home and followed it with a 2-0 win away to Chelsea.
De Zerbi has been Tottenham manager since 31st March 2026 and his possession-based style with a 4-2-3-1 formation is to try and draw teams out before breaking through. Conor Gallagher has one goal in three Premier League 2026/2027 games so far, so he can give Spurs a good late-running chance.
Palace are in the middle of a transition
Palace travel to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium off the back of a 5-0 defeat away to Brighton in Premier League 2026/2027 and a 2-2 draw with Besiktas in the UEFA Europa League league phase. Pierre Sage has managed Crystal Palace since 1 July 2026 and has settled on a 3-4-2-1 system with wing-backs to drive quick transitions.
Palace should have more to pick off Spurs with as they are more direct than most. Tottenham have conceded six goals in four home games, shipping 1.50 per game on average. Palace have won only one, drawn another and lost twice from four away games in Premier League 2026/2027, scoring 0.75 per game and conceding 2.25.
Palace have won two of their last three visits to Tottenham in the H2H, so we can't see Spurs getting a free hit here. Spurs are 12th on nine points from eight games and Palace are 16th on seven points from seven games, so goals look likely with Over 2.5 at 57/100 and Both Teams To Score - Yes at 3/5 our selection.
