- Bayern Munich are the form favourites for this game, having won four and drawn one of their last five games in all competitions.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won two, drawn one, and lost two of their last five.
- Bundesliga 2025/2026 leaders Bayern Munich have scored an average of 3.27 goals per game away from home.
Mainz 05 will be ready for the challenge
Bundesliga leaders FC Bayern Munich will face an up-tempo 1. FSV Mainz 05 at the MEWA Arena this Saturday in what could be a thrilling clash between two very different tactical systems.
Urs Fischer’s side have made the best of their limited resources this season, with their compact, aggressive pressing game and quick ball movement on the flanks already showing to be a potential issue for the league leaders.
Mainz can be extremely effective when they can press as a unit in the opponent’s half, and they can be equally devastating on the counter-attack when they can manage to break free from pressure.
Kompany has made a difference in Munich
Vincent Kompany’s tweaks to Bayern Munich’s game have resulted in them becoming ruthlessly efficient, particularly when they win the ball back with their high press, or when they have the ball in their final third.
Bayern build up from the back, with the ability to control the tempo in the early stages and keep the opponents’ energy levels down, before the players can press with real force when the opposition are tired.
High-scoring affair could be on the cards
Bayern Munich will be extremely tough to beat on Saturday, but we’re going to swerve the odds-on favourites at 1.68 to take all three points. There’s a chance that Mainz 05 can get under the champions skin when they press in the first and final third, and this could be a real end-to-end affair.
Mainz have scored an average of 1.0 goal in their last five home games against Bayern, while the visitors have averaged 2.5 goals as the away team in that same period. The last meeting between these sides finished 2-2 at the Allianz Arena, and another goal-fest could be on the horizon this weekend.
Stick with both teams to score
Both teams to score is priced at 1.43 and over 2.5 match goals is listed at 1.36 for this Bundesliga clash, which seems high considering how many goals these sides have been scoring lately.
Bayern Munich are almost unstoppable on their travels, and their firepower is unreal. They’ve scored 49 goals in 15 away games in the Bundesliga 2025/2026, so we fancy the Bundesliga champions to outscore their hosts here.
Harry Kane is Bayern’s talisman and top scorer in the Bundesliga, but Phillip Tietz is in fine form for Mainz with two of Mainz’s last five goals. Nadiem Amiri is the most likely goal scorer for the hosts, however, after notching 11 goals in 22 Bundesliga matches this season.
