- Bayern are unbeaten away from home in Bundesliga 2025/2026, winning 12 and drawing 3 of their 15 away league games.
- FC Bayern Munich are averaging 3.27 goals per game on their travels in Bundesliga 2025/2026, scoring 49 times on the road.
- Mainz 05 have conceded an average of 1.20 goals per home game in Bundesliga 2025/2026 (18 goals in total).
Bayern Munich are rampant
Bayern Munich are the clear favourites for Saturday’s Bundesliga clash, although they could be made to work hard for the three points by a Mainz 05 side that has their measure in recent years.
Bayern have 79 points from 30 games, 45 points more than Saturday’s hosts who sit 10th in the table with 34 points after 30 games. The Bavarians have four wins and one draw from their last five games in all competitions, while Mainz’s form has been mixed with two wins, one draw and two defeats during the same period.
Bayern’s away record is incredible with 12 wins and three draws from 15, and they average a ridiculous 3.27 goals a game on their travels - scoring 49 in total. Bayern pummeled St. Pauli 5-0 in their last away game and beat VfB Stuttgart 4-2 at home last time out.
Kompany’s tactical tweaks have made Bayern ruthless
Vincent Kompany has added his own ruthless edge, making Bayern ruthless in the way they dominate possession and press high up the pitch, while their build-up play is as good as it gets.
Urs Fischer has turned Mainz 05 into a pragmatic, phase-based side this season, where periods of high pressing are interspersed with more patient phases. They are compact, but aggressive and can hurt teams in transition and on the counter, which could make for an interesting clash with Bayern on Saturday.
Bayern have a better recent record against Mainz with three wins, one defeat and one draw in the last five head-to-head Bundesliga meetings, but the reverse fixture ended 2-2 at Allianz Arena. In that game, Mainz showed they could definitely trouble the champions.
Picking a winner is tough, but goals are likely
The hosts’ home record in Bundesliga 2025/2026 is reasonable with four wins, five draws and six defeats, while Bayern are clear favourites at 17/25. But we’ve seen Mainz spring upsets before and, with the head-to-head record so close and some drama in their recent meetings, we’re going for both teams to score at 43/100 and over 2.5 goals at 9/25.
Mainz concede an average of 1.20 per home game and Bayern average 3.27 on their travels, which points to a few goals in this clash. Harry Kane is Bayern’s talisman and top scorer in the Bundesliga with 32 goals in 27 games, while Nadiem Amiri has been Mainz’s top scorer with 11 in 22 games, but Phillip Tietz has scored two of their last five goals so we’re backing him to get a goal here.
