- Arsenal have won three of the last three head-to-head meetings.
- Arsenal are unbeaten in the Premier League 2026/2027 at home with two wins from two.
- Leeds United have avoided defeat in both of their Premier League 2026/2027 away games (W1, D1).
Arsenal have a knack for handling Leeds
Arsenal are undefeated in their last three matches against Leeds United and may have enough to beat their Yorkshire visitors again at the Emirates Stadium on Saturday, when a significant section of the top of the table meets.
Mikel Arteta's men sit second in the Premier League 2026/2027 with 12 points from five games, with Leeds in fifth with nine points from the same number of contests, so this is no exhibition game.
Arsenal have won four of their last five matches across all current competitions, suffering one defeat, and Leeds United have been on a mixed run of one win, three draws and one defeat during the same period.
Leeds lack the quality to score against the Gunners
The Gunners have played better football of late with Arteta getting his players to control possession and work as a unit in a coordinated press that has generated overloads and set-piece chances.
Daniel Farke's Leeds are a lively side, playing with width and movement, and being more selective in their pressing, but they may get pinned back at the Emirates and their overcommitment could be punished.
Bukayo Saka has the quality to unlock a close game for Arsenal with his pace and tricks after a season-opening slump, while Dominic Calvert-Lewin is the Whites' best chance of scoring a goal. The ex-Everton striker has scored three Premier League 2026/2027 goals in five games and four in Leeds' last five.
Odds are too short on home side
The 1.38 odds on an Arsenal win is far too short for a side that has won all of their last three meetings with Leeds United, although the Whites have failed to win at Arsenal in their two attempts across all competitions.
The 4.5 on a draw looks about right, but our main selection is Arsenal to win and both teams not to score, and this looks like their game to lose.
Leeds United have averaged 1.00 goal per away match in the Premier League 2026/2027 so far, but they will find it hard to do so against Arsenal's well-drilled rearguard.
