- Casa Pia Atletico are 15th in the table with 24 points from 26 games.
- SL Benfica are third in the Primeira Liga with 65 points from 27 fixtures.
Eagles can swoop to victory in expected thriller
Casa Pia Atletico are unbeaten in their last two home games and have avoided defeat in the last two meetings against SL Benfica, including a shock win in the reverse fixture, but the Eagles are unlikely to slip up on Monday.
Jose Mourinho has instilled a sense of tactical discipline and results-oriented mentality to this Benfica side since taking charge in September 2025 that has them in the title race, while Alvaro Pacheco’s appointment in January 2026 has turned Casa Pia into a compact, counter-attacking team that is capable of surprising the top sides.
Casa Pia defend deep in a compact shape, absorb pressure and then look to hit the bigger sides on the counter-attack or from set pieces.
Benfica are a possession-dominant side, playing a controlled tempo in either a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1, and are tactically flexible and sharp in transition, so the battle lines are drawn for a tactical chess match in Lisbon on Monday.
Benfica’s form has been outstanding with four wins and a draw from their last five league fixtures and back-to-back victories in their previous two away games.
Casa Pia have been in mixed form with one win, two draws and two defeats from their last five Primeira Liga games, so the visitors should rightly be favourites.
Casa Pia can score in defeat
However, the home side’s ability to get results against the bigger teams in the league suggests they can at least score a goal in a game that should be won by Benfica.
The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.55, which is very low for a Primeira Liga game and both teams to score - Yes is available at 2.05, which seems much more appropriate.
Benfica have only conceded seven goals in their 13 away league matches this season and that should be close to enough for the victory.
But Casa Pia have scored 1.33 goals per home game in the Primeira Liga 2025/2026 and have conceded an average of 1.83 goals per home game.
The visitors average 1.0 goals in their last five away from home and Casa Pia average 1.5 at home against Benfica, so the Eagles can probably win this one with three goals.
Benfica’s Vangelis Pavlidis is on fire right now with 21 goals in 27 appearances, leading the Primeira Liga’s charge, and he should get on the scoresheet against Casa Pia Atletico.
The hosts’ main attacking threat comes from Cassiano, who has five league goals in 25 games, but three of Casa Pia’s last four have come from the Brazilian forward’s boot.
