- Everton are unbeaten in 5 games with 2 wins and 3 draws, winning their last 2 matches.
- Chelsea are erratic with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 games, losing 3-0 at Brentford in their last away fixture.
- Everton have won 2 and drawn 1 of their 3 home games in the Premier League 2026/2027, conceding 0.67 goals per game.
Toffees too tenacious for turgid Blues
The Blues have looked off the boil throughout this campaign and were poor in the 3-0 defeat at Brentford that saw them slip to 10th in the table. Everton are 7th with 9 points from 5 games, meaning the Toffees have the edge so far in what looks like being a very long season.
David Moyes has done an impressive job since taking charge of Everton on 11 January 2025, creating a compact, set-piece-friendly side that is difficult to break down. It has worked to great effect in their 3 most recent games - a 0-0 away draw at Tottenham, followed by back-to-back 1-0 wins over Wolves (EFL Cup) and Ipswich (Premier League 2026/2027).
They will need to play with the same grit and control to beat a Chelsea side that have adopted a back three, wing-back system with a very positional style of play since Xabi Alonso took charge on 1 July 2026. The supply line has remained open and Morgan Rogers has supplied 4 assists in their last 5. Joao Pedro is the danger man in the Premier League 2026/2027 with 3 goals and 3 assists in 4 games so the Blues should have enough to spark up a real contest.
Back Both Teams to Score at a healthy price
A 2.24 favourite for the away side looks a bit short in this spot to us, although the Toffees aren't going to walk over the Blues this Saturday. The home side are unbeaten in 3 at the Hill Dickinson Stadium, conceding an average of 0.67 goals.
Chelsea have been poor on the road with 1 win and 2 defeats in 3 trips away from Stamford Bridge, scoring 1.33 goals on average. We will take Everton to hold firm in this game and avoid defeat in what should be a tense and tactical battle between two good footballing sides.
A safer bet on the game could be Both Teams to Score: Yes at 1.53, given the quality of Chelsea's attacking players and Everton's recent goalscoring run, although Thierno Barry is the Toffees' main box threat with 2 in 5 Premier League 2026/2027 appearances and 4 in Everton's last 5 games.
