- Everton have won two and drawn three of their last five fixtures.
- Everton have beaten Chelsea 3-0 in their last meeting at Goodison Park in the Premier League 2025/2026 and the Blues have failed to win either of the two away games since.
- Chelsea have lost two of their three Premier League 2026/2027 away games, scoring 1.33 goals per game on the road.
Toffees and Blues look evenly matched
All the odds suggest Chelsea should take all three points at the Hill Dickinson Stadium in Saturday's Premier League 2026/2027 clash, but Everton will be very happy. The Toffees are in much better form and look a better bet to avoid defeat in this contest even if the Blues do have a bit more to play with.
David Moyes has got Everton playing a compact, set-piece-friendly side since taking charge on 11 January 2025 and they are hard to break down at the moment. The Merseyside club's last three matches have been a 0-0 draw at Tottenham, a 1-0 EFL Cup win over Wolves and a 1-0 Premier League 2026/2027 win at Ipswich.
That run of three games has put the Toffees seventh in the table with nine points from their first five games, two places and two points ahead of the Blues, who have seven points on the board. Their form has been a bit patchy with two wins and three draws in their last five.
Everton have a better scoring record
Xabi Alonso has had the Chelsea players playing a back-three system and a positional game since 1st July 2026 with his wing-backs and controlled build-up. It works well enough, but the goals have not been flowing as they should. The 2-2 home draw with Hull City was the match that really sticks out in the last four games, with the other three having mixed results. Chelsea's last away game was a 3-0 defeat to Brentford, which has knocked their confidence in the Premier League 2026/2027.
The head-to-head record of these two clubs over the last three meetings has two Chelsea wins and one Everton win, so the game is not likely to be a one-sided affair. The Toffees are unbeaten at home in the Premier League 2026/2027 with two wins and a draw from three and have conceded just 0.67 goals per home game.
Everton look a slightly better bet to secure the win on Saturday, but the odds on the London club are just about right and this game has the feel of a tactical scrap rather than a walkover. The BTTS: Yes market is a sensible alternative at 53/100 as Chelsea do have plenty of quality in attack and Everton have scored recently.
Key men are available to score anytime
Thierno Barry is Everton's danger man in the Premier League 2026/2027 with two goals in five games, but the former Birmingham City striker has four goals in Everton's last five competitive games and is a clear anytime scorer option at 13/4.
Chelsea's danger-man has been Joao Pedro, who has three goals and three assists in four Premier League 2026/2027 games and looks a good shout at 5/2 to score on Saturday. Morgan Rogers has been Chelsea's chief creator lately with four assists in the club's last five.
