- FC Thun have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten matches in all competitions.
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb have won four and drawn one of their last five matches.
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb are undefeated in all six away fixtures this season, winning all six and scoring 20 goals.
Dinamo Zagreb can dig into Thun’s rearguard
Form and momentum favour the visitors to claim a win when FC Thun face GNK Dinamo Zagreb in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League qualification tussle at Arena Thun.
Dinamo have won eight and drawn two of their last ten in all competitions and arrive in Switzerland in much better shape than Thun.
Thun have won only two of their six home matches this season, drawing one and losing three, so this is not a stronghold or a place where they can guarantee points.
Thun's last two results include a 1-1 draw at home to SV Elversberg and a 1-2 defeat to SV Waldhof 07 Mannheim - two German second division sides - while Dinamo have come up against some good opposition during their current ten-game unbeaten run.
Their away record this term is superb - six wins from six in all competitions, 20 goals scored.
The last three away results show the Croatian side are ready to take the game to their hosts this Tuesday:
0-2 win at HNK Rijeka
1-4 win at NK Slaven Belupo
0-0 draw at NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Mario Kovacevic's side are playing with control and aggression and can get on top of opponents with their flexible 4-3-3/4-2-3-1 shape.
The wingers come in and central players push out, or central players stay put and the wide men come in - it is flexible, but the emphasis is always on width, tempo and counter-pressing.
Gian-Luca Privitelli's men can shape up into a compact 4-3-1-2 to counter this and make the game a clash of two central blocks and an ability to overload wide areas.
Elmin Rastoder has been Thun's spark in recent weeks, providing two of the team's five goals in the last five games, but Dinamo should be able to get on top and eventually force their way through.
So the odds of 2.6 for an away win are far superior to the other odds available for this game - Thun at 2.65 and the draw at 3.1.
Thun have managed to score an average of 2.33 goals per game at home across all competitions this term, but they are too loose at the back and we are taking the visitors to win and both teams to score at around 4/1.
