- Hapoel Beer-Sheva have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Vikingur Reykjavik have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games.
- Vikingur Reykjavik are unbeaten in 3 at home across all current competitions (W3, D0, L0), letting in 2 goals.
High-intensity Icelanders could outsmart Hapoel Beer-Sheva
Hapoel Beer-Sheva have shown a few good moments in this year's UEFA Champions League qualification 2026 run, but their 2025/2026 season has been rocky to date. This second leg is a true test of their European mettle.
Hapoel's form heading into this game is poor, with 2 wins and 3 defeats from their last 5. Their most recent results have seen them lose 1-2 and 1-3 at home to Maccabi Tel-Aviv in the State Cup 2025/2026 and Super Cup 2026 respectively. They will need a turnaround here.
Ran Kozuch sets up his side in an attack-minded 4-3-3, with good width, a busy midfield line and a proactive pressing strategy which aims to force turnovers. Their players work hard and are disciplined, but they have lost some crucial games this season and there are doubts that they can beat Vikingur on Tuesday.
Soelvi Ottesen has Vikingur playing with bite across the pitch as a collective, combining possession football with well-timed high pressing and a compact shape when defending leads. Their attacking players are capable of hurting opponents and their midfield gives them good control of the play.
Vikingur have a home edge
Vikingur have won 2 from 2 at home in their current run, letting in 2. Across all competitions, they have 8 wins in their last 10, a run which suggests they are hitting their stride.
Daniel Hafsteinsson is Vikingur's top scorer in UEFA Champions League qualification 2026 with 2 goals in 2 games. Aron Elis Thrandarson has hit 3 of their 10 goals in their last 5.
Hapoel have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 10 across all comps, which is a decent run but one which includes a few too many slip-ups. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their most recent 5 away matches, a record which suggests they can travel to Vikingsvoellur, Iceland and nick a result.
Hapoel average 1.60 goals scored and only 0.80 let in per game on the road across all competitions, a tidy record which shows they keep things simple on the transition. Vikingur are more attack-minded though, so Hapoel's 4-3-3 should stretch the field, but Vikingur's ability to press high should turn this into a scrappy match if they can win the ball in their half.
Vikingur look the more likely to win this match-up, but it looks like a close one overall. We're taking the hosts as the main bet at 2.28, but the odds suggest that Hapoel are close behind at 2.87, with the draw at 3.5 looking the most likely result to us. Vikingur have a better chance of winning the overall tie though, so we're going for Vikingur or Draw in the double chance market.
