- Germany U19 are unbeaten in five matches, winning three and drawing two
- Denmark U19 are unbeaten in their last five matches, winning three and drawing two
- Germany U19 are 5-3-2 in their last ten matches, Denmark U19 are 5-2-3 in their last ten
Germany U19 to win?
Germany U19 are the slight favourites ahead of Denmark U19 in this opening Group A matchup at 2.46 ahead of Denmark at 2.68 and a 3.88 draw. The favourites have an impressive home record in all competitions, winning three, drawing two and losing one, and they've taken three wins and a draw from their last four home matches.
The Danes are not to be underestimated though. They are 1-2-1 away from home in all competitions, drawing with Romania U19 and beating Czech Republic U19, and they've gone three without defeat away from home.
Denmark have the pace to hurt Germany
Germany U19 are a patient, possession-based side who work it from the back and get their full-backs wide to create overloads, while Denmark U19 are more vertical and direct, looking to win the ball back high and fast, using pace to break through in transition. This will be a fascinating chess match, with the midfield and full-backs likely to play a pivotal role in deciding who wins the game.
The favourite still has to justify the short price though. Denmark U19 should get opportunities to hurt them if they can press the hosts out of their comfort zone and Denmark U19 have been solid at the back on the road, conceding just three goals at a rate of 0.75 per match.
Over 2.5 is more likely than Under 2.5
It is impossible to look at the odds for this match and not see Over 2.5 Goals at 1.47 and Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.43 as an error, but the odds of 2.63 for BTTS - No are too high because this game should be cagey.
Germany U19 have conceded 11 goals at home across all competitions, an average of 1.83 per game, so Denmark will get chances if they can create turnovers. Germany are the more likely winner here, but Denmark will make them work for it and I'm not expecting a blowout. A 2-2 type of game is within the range of outcomes, but I'll settle for a narrow win for the favourite, with the Germans more than capable of handling Denmark's high-tempo approach.
