- Getafe and Athletic Bilbao are level on 38 points each after 29 LaLiga 2025/2026 fixtures, with the hosts in 8th and Bilbao 9th by goal difference.
- Getafe have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their 14 home LaLiga 2025/2026 fixtures this term.
- Athletic Bilbao have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 8 of their 14 away LaLiga 2025/2026 matches this season.
Tactical contrast promises an intriguing game
Getafe and Athletic Bilbao are only separated by goal difference in a very tight LaLiga table this season and the difference in the styles of their respective head coaches should make for an interesting match at Coliseum Alfonso Perez on Sunday.
Pepe Bordalas likes his teams to be physically dominant, to keep a tight shape in defence and to press in numbers to try and force turnovers and exploit the open space they create to burst forward quickly. His team is a tough nut to crack at home, especially for teams without much momentum.
Ernesto Valverde’s teams keep a more disciplined and structured shape, using the width and half spaces effectively, and pressing in unison, reacting to triggers rather than chasing the ball aimlessly.
Getafe will aim to impose their shape on Bilbao
Getafe, which has won three and lost two of its last five LaLiga 2025/2026 games, will look to get Bilbao’s game out of rhythm by forcing them to play directly and trying to create as much chaos as possible. The visitors, who are winless in their last three away matches (D1, L2), will seek to control the tempo and exploit any gaps in Getafe’s shape when they have the ball.
Bilbao have kept themselves in the game through Valverde’s tactical flexibility, but their away troubles have been evident throughout the season and seem unlikely to change on Sunday. Getafe, who won their last LaLiga meeting with Bilbao 1-0 away five months ago, has not won at home against them in their last two attempts.
Bilbao’s goal woes could be their undoing
Getafe have won one and lost one of their last two at home, and their overall defensive record is very solid in the Madrid suburbs. They have conceded an average of 0.79 goals per game at their stadium this term, far better than Bilbao’s away goals conceded average of 1.71 in LaLiga 2025/2026, while Bilbao scores only 0.93 per away game.
Getafe are therefore favoured to edge this clash, which may be tight in the end, because of their grit at home. The odds on a home win are 2.95, but there is plenty of value in backing less than 2.5 goals at 1.36 and both teams not to score at 1.55, as the hosts’ defence should stifle a Bilbao side that has struggled away.
Satriano’s strike-rate looks enticing
Martin Satriano’s scoring record for Getafe this year is very encouraging as he has scored 2 of their last 5 goals and his overall tally for the club reads 2 this season, which compares to Gorka Guruzeta’s 6 in 26 LaLiga 2025/2026 appearances for Bilbao. Mauro Arambarri is the biggest threat for the home side with 6 goals in 29 league matches this year and Luis Milla has been their creative engine, providing 9 assists in 28 appearances.
