- Gold Coast Knights have won more games in recent head-to-heads against Olympic FC in the NPL Queensland.
- Olympic FC have lost four of their last five games, conceding 11 goals in total.
- Olympic FC beat the Knights 1-0 in their last meeting in March 2026.
Knights and Olympic can serve up a classic clash in NPL
A clash between Gold Coast Knights and Brisbane Olympic FC is always a big deal in Queensland’s top-tier footy because they are two big clubs with long and storied pasts. Olympic are only marginally inferior to the Knights in recent years, but the Knights have enjoyed the better of the pair in the last 10 - 16 meetings in the NPL.
This is a very important fixture in the middle of the season for both clubs, who sit mid-table, with the Knights slightly ahead in the NPL Queensland 2026 table. Alex Morrison’s team has a win more than Olympic, but the hosts are the favourites with the odds at 1.97.
Olympic are 3.11 for the away win, but the Knights have the edge in form and could win the matchup that matters this weekend. Morrison brings a pragmatic, structured approach to the Knights’ game. He has the defenders lining up in a back three or four, staying compact and keeping the shape as they look to punish opponents on the counter-attack or at set piece.
Grossman’s pacey Olympic side can open up the Knights
Chris Grossman’s Olympic side bring pace and directness to the game and like to play at a high tempo, pressing high up the field to try to win the ball back quickly and get it to their midfield and forwards to move it forward. Kenshin Takagishi has provided most of Olympic’s attacking spark this season, but their system has also allowed for the likes of Ty Cobb to express himself.
Cobb brings pace and directness and has contributed on the scoresheet during their better spells. Olympic have been solid cup performers since Grossman took charge in 2023, but their recent results show the defence is vulnerable and needs immediate attention.
Knights are in better form and likely to win
The Knights have won two, drawn two and lost only one of their last five league games, including a 4-0 away win and a 3-2 victory. Morrison’s men are more solid at the back, but also have the pace in the wide areas to make them dangerous on the break.
This is a game of ‘control vs chaos’ and, while the Knights should have enough structure and patience to stay in the game, Olympic will surely try to force the issue. Jackson Simpkin is a steady defensive mainstay, but Lachlan Hunter in goal and the rest of the rearguard have been under pressure in recent games. The hosts have the home advantage and better form, so we are taking them to nick it, but a draw wouldn’t be a disaster for the Knights.
Hence, we are recommending a draw-no bet play on Gold Coast Knights to beat Olympic on Friday night. The odds on both teams scoring look too short to take, but given their recent games, a goal festival can be expected. A 1-1 or 2-1 Knights win is most likely in correct score betting as Joel Russell is in fine form and can punish any defensive errors that Olympic make.
Two local rivals that never fail to serve up a treat
Daniel Dias has been a key player for the Knights in the final third, providing creativity from deep and excellent delivery from set-piece situations. Tyson Martin has been a real find up front, getting some goals himself and making runs to draw defenders away from the strikers.
They are a team that can score goals and defend well on their day, so we are predicting they can outlast Olympic for the win. A blustery, cooler night can play into their hands too as the Knights can control the match in terms of shape while the long ball game and set pieces may not work as well for the visitors.
There is little to choose between these two sides overall, but the Knights are our pick to edge it as they did in the 2018 NPL Queensland Grand Final.