- Holland Park Hawks are in good form, W3, L2 over their last five matches, but they arrive here off the back of consecutive wins.
- Redlands United are a little jumbled, W2, D1, L2, over their last five.
A typical mid-table match
With Holland Park Hawks sitting 7th in the Queensland Premier League 2026 table with 22 points from 15 games, and Redlands United 8th with 18 points from 14, we're going to look at a fairly typical mid-table clash on Friday.
Holland Park Hawks have won four of their seven home games, losing three, scoring and conceding 2.00 goals per game on average, which already suggests that this will be an open game.
The odds are certainly set with Redlands United as the favourite at 2.0, with Holland Park Hawks priced up at 2.87 and the draw coming in at 3.94. However, Redlands' recent results suggest to me that the value lies with Holland Park Hawks here.
A contrast in styles
Holland Park Hawks are a structured, pragmatic and organised side, who can lock things down in a compact shape and then expand at the right time. They play a patient game, but can open up wide or hit in transition when the opportunity arises.
Redlands United are a faster, more direct side, who sit their midfield block compact and make the game vertical from defence to attack. When they win the ball, they are more likely to look to take it to goal, with more pace in the frontline to exploit the space behind.
A close, exciting game
Holland Park Hawks arrive here off the back of a strong 2-1 win over St George Willawong FC at home, and an impressive 3-2 victory away to Logan Lightning. They showed plenty of character to grind out the win at Logan, and to then trade blows. The recent form is in their favour, and they're coming off consecutive wins, but they haven't beaten Redlands in their last three, or in the last meeting at home.
Redlands United have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five, but they've really hit their stride in the two most recent wins, thrashing St George Willawong FC 3-0 away, before losing 2-4 at home to Sunshine Coast Wanderers, before thrashing Ipswich FC 5-0 on their home turf.
Redlands have an away record of W2, D1, L3 in the Queensland Premier League 2026, scoring 1.33 goals per-game on the road, so they can certainly travel with bite, but they're also certainly beatable.
I can see Redlands' more direct style causing Holland Park more problems in this game, and I think the energy and pace of the visitors could throw off the hosts in transition, so they may just nick this game. The best play is probably Both Teams to Score at 1.28, it fits the numbers and this doesn't feel like a game for a cagey affair.
Over 2.5 goals is heavily priced at 1.27, and I suspect that we will see another exciting contest. Redlands United have the momentum, the head-to-head edge, but I think this will be a tight and close contest.
