- Ipswich FC have won two of the last three matchups in Queensland Premier League 2026 (D1).
- Ipswich FC have lost their last two consecutive away matches to Redlands United 5-0 and Brisbane Strikers 1-0.
- Holland Park Hawks have won three of their eight away matches in Queensland Premier League 2026 (D1, L4).
Ipswich FC have the edge, but there’s a draw in the air
Ipswich FC are the firm favourites at 1.57 for Friday's Queensland Premier League 2026 matchup with Holland Park Hawks, and it's no surprise. They're 3rd on the table, on 27 points from 16 games, and still very much in the mix at the top of the table.
But the hosts do come into this matchup on the back of a few disappointing results. Back-to-back away losses to Redlands United (5-0) and Brisbane Strikers (1-0) have seen them slip up at a crucial time, as they've lost three in a row ahead of this fixture.
Holland Park Hawks meanwhile, are in a comfortable mid-table position on 22 points from 16 matches. They sit in 7th place and are perhaps lacking the consistency required to be a top six team in the Queensland Premier League.
Hawks will look to stretch the play
Their form has been a bit up and down of late, with a 2-1 win over St George Willawong FC and a 3-2 win against Logan Lightning before a 1-4 home loss to Redlands United.
But Holland Park Hawks have shown enough to be a threat on any given weekend and they could spring a surprise here. They'll come up against an Ipswich FC side who look to sit deep, keep their shape and look to play fast on the break.
Hawks coach Luke DeVere has built a structured team who like to switch play quickly and have full-backs that like to make forward runs when the ball is turned over.
This should make for a bit of a chess match as Ipswich will be looking to suffocate their opponents in the middle and Holland Park will look to open the game up.
The value is on goals
Ipswich are the superior team on paper and will likely edge it but the fact that they've slipped on their last three means that this won't be a walkover. Holland Park will come to play and they've shown that they can get the odd result on the road, despite their overall record.
A 1.39 line on over 2.5 goals seems fair considering the nature of this matchup and Ipswich's recent defensive troubles, while both teams to score at 1.45 is a good play given Holland Park are good for a goal on their day and Ipswich have scored just nine goals in eight home matches in the Queensland Premier League 2026.