- Redlands United are seventh in the Queensland Premier League 2026 with 24 points from 17 matches.
- Capalaba are twelfth with seven points from 17 games.
- Redlands United are 1.23 favourites, with Capalaba at 8.1 and the draw 6.05.
Side with the hosts in a derby
Redlands United are clearly the superior side in all the stats for this derby against Capalaba, who sit 17 points behind them in the Queensland Premier League 2026.
The home side have won three of their last five games, beginning with a 5-1 away defeat to Logan Lightning, before earning a 2-1 win at North Star FC.
Capalaba have lost five straight games, falling 3-1 at Broadbeach United and then 0-2 at home to St George Willawong FC.
Their away record is bleak with just one win, one draw and six defeats from their eight trips in the Queensland Premier League 2026, where they've scored 0.75 goals a game and conceded 2.75.
Both sides look to have a plan
In this clash of styles, Redlands' patient build-up play and wide combinations should give them the edge over a Capalaba side, who are compact.
With Michael Bradley and Freddie Cruise, the home team have the cutting edge to take advantage of their superior possession.
And in the stats, they have the advantage in all departments with a home record of three wins, two draws and three defeats in eight games, scoring 2.38 goals per game and conceding 1.88.
This should be a pretty open contest as Capalaba look to play on the counter-attack, so Redlands will have to press forward and keep up their momentum.
Redlands are a tough bet at the prices
The odds reflect the reality that Redlands are the better side and they should secure all three points at home, but Capalaba have won two and drawn one of the last three meetings between these sides.
They also won the last match 2-1 at home three months ago, so Redlands have a little bit of revenge to avenge.
The hosts are 1.23 to repeat that victory and we don't want to take those sort of odds in a match as important as a derby.
Over 2.5 goals at 1.2 is a safer play in a game that could open up a little if the Redlands side get on top early, while both teams to score at 1.47 looks like a nice bet for a lively game, even if the odds are against the visitors this weekend.
