- Lecce are unbeaten in two of their last three Serie A 2026/2027 matches, having won 2-0 away at Venezia last time out.
- Monza are yet to win on the road in Serie A 2026/2027 after one draw and one defeat from two trips.
- Lecce have split the points in their last three home games across all competitions (W1, D1, L1).
Lecce likely to keep Monza at bay at Via del Mare
Lecce (13th) have made a decent, if unspectacular start to the Serie A 2026/2027 season with three points on the board from two matches and it's more than enough to keep them in the pack for now. SSD Monza 1912 (16th) have only one point from their opening three games and desperately need a spark to kickstart their season.
Lecce are slight favourites at 2.22 ahead of the visitors at 3.3 with the draw priced at 3.2, which seems a bit odd given the respective positions of the two clubs in the early-season standings. I Giallorossi are clearly the stronger team in the match on paper, but they haven't exactly set the world on fire in the opening weeks of the campaign and will probably have to work hard to beat I Biancorossi on Sunday.
There shouldn't be much between two solid sides
Lecce's solid 2-0 win at Venezia was encouraging last time out, but it is still early days and much of the season remains. Eusebio Di Francesco has set the team up to be compact and well-balanced in a 4-3-3 system, with plenty of attacking quality to make things happen in transition.
Danilo Veiga has added some craft and vision, registering one assist in his two Serie A 2026/2027 appearances to date, and in Olaf Gorter, Lecce have the biggest threat to the Monza goal with one strike in as many appearances. Nikola Stulic, who has hit two of Lecce's five goals across their last five competitive matches, is also in the frame to score a goal on Sunday.
Varela’s value a boost for Monza
Ivan Juric has his Monza men pressing high up the pitch in a 3-4-2-1 or 3-4-3 shape, bringing a great deal of intensity and directness to their play. Gustavo Varela has been their danger man in the Serie A 2026/2027, with two goals in his first two games as the club's leading scorer.
Monza beat Torino 1-0 in the Coppa Italia midweek after a 1-1 draw at Parma in their previous Serie A 2026/2027 away fixture and we believe that a tight, cagey draw is the most likely outcome on their next road trip. Varela has also bagged three goals in Monza's last five matches, with the Lombardy club scoring seven times in the same sequence, so it's no surprise that he is a good punt in the anytime goalscorer market.
Lecce have not lost either of their last two home games against Monza and that's good enough for the hosts to snag the win in what looks likely to be a back four versus back three chess match. Di Francesco's side have more width in general and greater balance in their system, but Monza can put pressure on the wing-backs and we fancy a narrow win for the home side. Under 2.5 goals at 1.65 appeals in this fixture, which is a game of patience as much as anything, but both teams to score NO at 1.83 looks even better.
