- AS Roma have won the last 2 head-to-head clashes, including a 1-0 Serie A 2025/2026 away win for Lecce five months ago.
- Lecce have failed to beat AS Roma in their last 3 home games.
- Roma are 6-2-2 and Lecce 6-1-3 in their respective last 10 games across all competitions.
Lecce and Roma to share spoils at Stadio Ettore Giardiniero
Lecce have shown mixed form in their opening 5 games of the season, coming into Monday's clash with AS Roma at 2-1-2, but they should not be intimidated by the Giallorossi on home turf where they have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1. An impressive 0-2 win away at Venezia should have given them a lift as they prepare to face Roma, who they haven't beaten in their last 3 home games. Eusebio Di Francesco has set up his team to play a 4-3-3/4-2-3-1 system that allows them to get men forward in numbers, press the opposition high and overload the wings. Paulo Dybala has been their greatest threat, but Danilo Veiga has brought a different dimension to the team in Serie A 2026/2027, notching 1 assist. Gian Piero Gasperini's Roma also brings high lines and wing-backs that burst forward, but they press in a more man-oriented fashion with their 3-4-2-1 system and they're extremely fast on the counter. The Giallorossi have also hit a mixed 1-2-2 run in their previous 5 matches, having suffered a 3-0 defeat away at Brighton and 2-2 draw away at Borussia Dortmund.
AS Roma to edge a cagey affair
Lecce's Olaf Gorter has got the best of the goal-scoring, finding the net 1 time in Serie A 2026/2027, whilst Nikola Stulic has notched 2 of the team's recent goals and looks like their main outlet. AS Roma's Dybala has also scored 4 of the Giallorossi's 10 goals in their current 5 game run.
Roma are the clear favourites at 1.69 whilst Lecce are 5.1 and the draw is 3.55. We're going to stick with the Giallorossi to get the win here due to their stronger odds and superior head-to-head record, but the low odds and tight odds on goals tell us this could be a cagey contest. Under 2.5 goals & Both Teams To Score - No will be our main bet at 1.65 and 1.7, respectively.
