- Lillestrom SK are 2 draws and 3 defeats in 5 matches across all competitions (1 win, 3 defeats at home).
- KF Egnatia are 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 5 across all competitions (W1 D1 L3 away).
- The draw is 5.28 and the first leg was 0-0 in UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026.
Kanarifugla can squeeze out second-leg win
Lillestrom SK are the clear favourites for Thursday's UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026, second-leg clash with KF Egnatia at 1.36, while KF Egnatia are a big price at 9.25, so it looks like the home side should have enough quality to nick the game.
However, KF Egnatia arrive off the back of a 5-1 home win over Shamrock Rovers FC in UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026 and a 0-0 draw at home to Lillestrom SK. They have been in a better overall form with 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats in their last 10 matches across all competitions, while the hosts have been a mixed bag with 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats in the same period.
Hans Erik Oedegaard took charge at Lillestrom SK on 1 January 2025 and has moulded the side into a solid, structured unit. The Canaries are built from a double-pivot base, usually a 4-2-3-1, and their game plan is to be solid in central areas, make transitions through the #10 and inside forwards and build a controlled rhythm from the back. There are obvious signs of good work-rate and positional pressing from this side, but they typically favour controlled tempo rather than frenetic direct pressing.
The visitors are compact and organised, but can punish opponents on the break with their counter-punching approach. Nevil Dede's side have been well drilled since he took over on 4 May 2026 and are a compact, organised unit with a back four and a dense midfield block that will invite the opponents to take the ball and give them chances to pounce on breaks and counters. At home, they have been positive and can switch between a narrow midfield block and a more advanced three-man attacking shape as the match requires.
Egnatia can nick chances on the counter
Our bet recommendation is to take Over 2.5 goals at 1.62 as the odds for a home victory are simply too short and the 0-0 draw in the first-leg suggests this could remain a cagey contest with the tie hanging in the balance. Both teams to score - No at 1.78 is just about enough of a price to reflect the fact that Lillestrom SK have scored just five goals in their last four home games across all competitions, so the finishing prowess isn't that potent.
Felix Va has scored two of Lillestrom's three goals in their last five matches, so he looks their sharpest edge in front of goal, while Alessandro Albanese has scored twice in three UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026 games for KF Egnatia and is their main goal threat. Fernando Medeiros has four assists in KF Egnatia's last five games, so the visitors have the sting to punish the home team if they are caught out.
Lillestrom SK have three defeats and one win in their four home matches in all competitions, so Aaraasen Stadion hasn't been a fortress of late, while KF Egnatia are on a two-game winless streak on the road. There will be some tension in the game because of the 0-0 from the first-leg and a moment could decide this, but Lillestrom SK should find the cutting edge and can squeeze out a victory by a single goal.
