- Lillestrom SK have 1 win and 3 defeats in 4 home matches across all competitions.
- KF Egnatia have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in 5 away matches across all competitions.
- Lillestrom SK have scored 5 goals in their last 4 home matches.
Lillestrom SK (LIL) to edge past KF Egnatia (KFE) in a close game
The odds for the hosts Lillestrom SK to come out on top in their home game against KF Egnatia on Thursday are 9/25, which looks low considering KF Egnatia are priced at 33/4. This would suggest that the market is heavily in favour of a home win and there is also a chance that this draw at 107/25 keeps this cagey match on the cards after the 0-0 draw in the first leg of their UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026 clash.
Hans Erik Oedegaard has built a structured side since taking over on the 1st January 2025. Lillestrom SK are usually set up from a double-pivot base (usually a 4-2-3-1) and are built on central solidity, vertical transitions through the #10 and inside forwards and structured build from the back. They will push up and press in a team work-rate sense, but they are not a side that likes to play at a fast-paced, high-pressing style.
Nevil Dede has worked at KF Egnatia since the 4th May 2026 and has instilled a compact, counter-punching identity. Their back four is quite dense and are happy to sit back in a defensive block, they then look to get forward in numbers, making a transition from their defence into their front three through wide-driven breaks. At home, they are a little more aggressive but they can also be tactically versatile, playing a narrow, three-man block midfield or a more advanced three in front of the defensive unit.
Lillestrom SK go into this match off the back of a 0-2 defeat at home against Rosenborg BK in Eliteserien 2026, which followed a 1-1 away draw with KFUM Oslo in Eliteserien 2026 and a 0-0 away draw with KF Egnatia in UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026.
KF Egnatia go into this game off the back of a 5-1 win at home against Shamrock Rovers FC in UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026 and a 0-0 home draw with Lillestrom SK.
Lillestrom SK come into this in a period of mixed to poor form. Lillestrom SK have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, whereas KF Egnatia have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5, which makes a case for a more even playing field.
We feel Lillestrom SK will edge this game but the odds on a straight home win and the 0-0 first-leg result suggests a tense, low-margin affair, not a free-flowing shootout. Over 2.5 goals at 31/50 looks too short, so we're backing both teams to score - No at 39/50. KF Egnatia are averaging 1.80 goals per away game, meaning they have scored 9 times in all competitions so there is a chance that they can nick a goal on the break here. Fernando Medeiros has 4 assists in KF Egnatia's last 5 matches, so their transitions have real sting.
Felix Va has 2 of Lillestrom's 3 goals in the last 5 games, so he looks the sharpest edge in front of goal. Alessandro Albanese has 2 goals in 3 games in this season's UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026 for KF Egnatia, so he's the man in form to watch for a goal in this.
